How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Missouri_State 100 Fontbonne 27 *+0.4
*+0.0
Maryland 93 St_Marys_MD 45 *-0.1
Lafayette 84 NJIT 83 (ot)+0.2
Yale 89 Lehigh 81 (ot)+0.1
UCF 86 Mississippi_State 61 *-0.0
Buffalo 85 Nazareth 38 *-0.0
FridayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cleveland_State finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-018.5%1961619196161840,000
Total:18.5%1961619196161840,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title