How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Charleston 60 Boise_State 47 *+0.3
*+0.0
Akron 72 American 62 *-0.2
*-0.0
USC-Upstate 57 UNC-Asheville 73 *-0.0
FridayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Charleston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-026.7%27272010553210130,000
Total:26.7%27272010553210130,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title