How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UCF 86 Mississippi_State 61 *-0.1
Louisiana-Lafayette 117 Panhandle_State 47 *+0.0
Central_Michigan 107 Marygrove 58 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Michigan_State vs Miss_Valley_State*-0.1-1.6*-1.1+0.4
*-0.0-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Central_Connecticut finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-06.2%6610111416141165130,000
Total:6.2%6610111416141165130,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title