Lone Peak Knights Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Lost to Riv 62-73, average seed down 0.2 to 2.2
7-4   .636

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 2/13100.0*Region Champs100.0*Average seed
PG 61 LP 53 No
-0.1
Riv 50 AF 47 No
Tuesday, 2/18100.0*Region Champs100.0*Average seed
LP 62 Riv 73 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday, 2/20100.0*Region Champs100.0*Average seed
AF vs Lehi+0.2-0.3
LP vs Her+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the LP finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegionChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LplayoffsChamps1234567Count
81-0InNo100380,948,087
70-1InNo5050380,942,315
Total:InNo7525761,890,402
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs