Herriman Mustangs Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Beat PG 44-41, playoff odds up 5 to 25%
4-7   .364

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 2/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lehi 52 Her 44 -22.5
-0.5
Riv 50 AF 47 +8.8
+0.2
PG 61 LP 53 -0.8
-0.1
Tuesday, 2/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Her 44 PG 41 +20.0
+0.8
AF 36 West 32 -7.5
+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday, 2/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
AF vs LehiOut+25.0
-0.2+0.3
LP vs HerOut+25.0
-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Her finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegionChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LplayoffsChamps1234567Count
51-050.0%No5050380,942,315
40-1OutNo100380,948,087
Total:25.0%No2575761,890,402
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs