How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Oakland 3 Utah 5 +11.3
+1.6
+1.8
Cincinnati 2 Portland 5 -1.6
-0.1
Hartford 4 Las Vegas 5 -1.5
-0.1
Seattle 4 Oklahoma City 3 -1.0
-0.0
Jacksonville 5 Portland 1 +1.0
+0.0
Baltimore 1 Spokane 0 +0.9
+0.0
Houston 4 Las Vegas 1 +0.9
+0.0
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 -0.2
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Utah vs Portland+3.7-7.7
+1.0-2.2
+0.8-1.7
Las Vegas vs Utah-4.9+5.2
-1.7+1.8
-1.2+1.2
Spokane vs Utah-4.5+5.3
-1.7+1.9
-1.1+1.3
Utah vs Seattle+3.4-5.6
+1.3-2.2
+0.9-1.5
Utah vs Cincinnati+2.3-5.1
+1.0-2.1
+0.7-1.5
Utah vs Tulsa+2.5-4.8
+1.1-2.1
+0.8-1.5
Utah vs Cleveland+2.5-4.8
+1.1-2.1
+0.8-1.5
Utah vs Jacksonville+2.3-5.0
+1.0-2.1
+0.7-1.6
Utah vs Kansas City+2.5-4.8
+1.1-2.1
+0.8-1.5
Utah vs San Antonio+2.5-4.7
+1.2-2.2
+0.8-1.5
Utah vs Milwaukee+2.8-4.5
+1.4-2.2
+0.9-1.5
Utah vs Charlotte+2.7-4.4
+1.3-2.2
+0.9-1.5
Utah vs Oklahoma City+2.9-4.2
+1.5-2.2
+1.0-1.4
Hartford vs Utah-3.3+3.5
-1.7+1.8
-1.1+1.1
Memphis vs Utah-3.3+3.4
-1.7+1.8
-1.1+1.1
Green Bay vs Utah-3.1+3.6
-1.6+1.9
-1.0+1.2
Baltimore vs Utah-2.5+4.0
-1.6+2.6
-0.9+1.4
Quebec City vs Utah-2.5+4.0
-1.6+2.5
-0.9+1.4
Indianapolis vs Utah-2.3+4.2
-1.6+3.1
-0.8+1.5
New Orleans vs Utah-2.4+4.0
-1.6+2.6
-0.9+1.4
Houston vs Utah-2.4+3.9
-1.6+2.5
-0.9+1.4
Atlanta vs Utah-2.2+4.1
-2.4+4.4
-0.8+1.5
San Antonio vs Oakland+0.6-1.1
Oakland vs Baltimore-0.8+0.9
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Oakland+0.6-1.1
-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Oakland+0.7-1.1
Oklahoma City vs Oakland+0.5-1.2
-0.1+0.1
Oakland vs Houston-0.8+0.9
+0.1-0.1
Milwaukee vs Oakland+0.6-1.1
Cincinnati vs Oakland+0.7-1.0
+0.0-0.1
Oakland vs Indianapolis-0.8+0.9
+0.2-0.2
Jacksonville vs Oakland+0.7-1.0
Oakland vs Quebec City-0.8+0.9
+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Green Bay-0.6+1.0
Oakland vs Cleveland-0.6+1.0
Tulsa vs Oakland+0.6-1.0
New Orleans vs Oakland+0.6-1.1
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Oakland+0.5-1.1
-0.3+0.8
Oakland vs Memphis-0.6+1.1
-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs Portland+0.6-1.0
+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs Portland+0.6-1.0
Oakland vs Hartford-0.5+1.0
Las Vegas vs Jacksonville-0.6+1.0
-0.0+0.1
Portland vs Indianapolis-0.8+0.8
+0.2-0.2
Portland vs Charlotte-0.7+0.8
+0.1-0.1
Milwaukee vs Portland+0.5-1.0
-0.0+0.1
Portland vs Memphis-0.6+1.0
-0.0+0.1
Las Vegas vs Cleveland-0.6+0.9
San Antonio vs Portland+0.5-1.0
Memphis vs Spokane+0.6-0.9
+0.0-0.1
Cleveland vs Portland+0.6-1.0
Las Vegas vs Kansas City-0.6+0.9
Portland vs Tulsa-0.6+0.9
Portland vs Oklahoma City-0.8+0.7
+0.1-0.1
Portland vs New Orleans-0.7+0.8
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Jacksonville-0.5+1.0
-0.0+0.1
Portland vs Baltimore-0.7+0.8
+0.1-0.1
Las Vegas vs San Antonio-0.7+0.8
Atlanta vs Portland+0.5-1.0
-0.4+0.8
Las Vegas vs Green Bay-0.6+0.9
Portland vs Hartford-0.6+0.9
-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Las Vegas+0.5-1.0
Atlanta vs Las Vegas+0.4-1.1
-0.3+0.8
Las Vegas vs Cincinnati-0.6+0.9
-0.0+0.1
Charlotte vs Las Vegas+0.5-1.0
-0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Las Vegas+0.5-1.0
Spokane vs Oklahoma City-0.7+0.7
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Kansas City-0.6+0.9
Spokane vs San Antonio-0.6+0.9
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Las Vegas+0.4-1.0
-0.0+0.1
Las Vegas vs Milwaukee-0.7+0.7
+0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Las Vegas+0.4-1.0
-0.1+0.2
Spokane vs Cleveland-0.6+0.9
Hartford vs Spokane+0.6-0.9
+0.0-0.1
Spokane vs Green Bay-0.5+0.9
Portland vs Quebec City-0.7+0.8
+0.1-0.1
Quebec City vs Spokane+0.5-1.0
Portland vs Houston-0.7+0.8
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Milwaukee-0.7+0.8
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Cincinnati-0.5+0.9
-0.0+0.1
Indianapolis vs Spokane+0.4-1.0
-0.1+0.2
Memphis vs Las Vegas+0.5-0.9
+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Spokane+0.4-1.0
-0.4+0.8
Tulsa vs Spokane+0.5-0.9
+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Spokane+0.5-0.9
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Spokane+0.5-0.9
Quebec City vs Las Vegas+0.4-1.0
Houston vs Spokane+0.5-0.9
Tulsa vs Las Vegas+0.5-0.9
+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Hartford-0.4+0.9
Atlanta vs Cleveland-0.4+0.8
Atlanta vs Green Bay-0.4+0.8

What If

Chances based on how well the Utah finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
42-46InYes100514*
4019-03In98.0%9821,588
3818-04In91.391907,183
3617-05In77.177221024,400
3416-06In50.5514181064,632
3215-07In20.82143278100134,901
3014-08In3.64193328134100229,879
2813-09100.0%0.102921282312410000319,177
2612-01099.80.000027162324178300000366,350
2411-01197.8No00028162323167200200347,816
2210-01287.7No0002818242111274100273,632
209-01362.5No00151424185121262000179,057
188-01431.0No0018220413211992096,799
167-0159.6No0190028213122643,280
146-0161.8No0201421403215,400
125-0170.3No00428684,384
104-018OutNo11090981
83-019OutNo397154
2-6OutNo100241*
Total:88.8%4.6%5777776666555443222211112,110,368

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs