How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Quebec City 2 Green Bay 0 +5.0
+0.8
+1.0
Hartford 4 Las Vegas 5 +2.1
+0.1
Hartford 0 Indianapolis 1 +2.0
+0.1
Jacksonville 0 Oklahoma City 5 +1.9
+0.1
Kansas City 1 Charlotte 5 -1.9
-0.1
Baltimore 1 Spokane 0 -1.3
-0.1
Jacksonville 5 Portland 1 -1.2
-0.1
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 -0.4
-0.2
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 -0.2
-0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Jacksonville vs Quebec City-8.3+8.9
-1.5+1.6
-1.3+1.4
Quebec City vs Hartford+5.2-11.5
+0.8-1.8
+0.8-1.8
Quebec City vs Baltimore+5.5-9.0
+1.2-1.9
+1.0-1.7
Charlotte vs Quebec City-4.9+8.1
-1.4+2.3
-1.0+1.6
Quebec City vs Memphis+3.2-7.1
+0.8-1.8
+0.7-1.7
Quebec City vs Las Vegas+3.2-7.0
+0.8-1.8
+0.8-1.7
Quebec City vs Utah+3.9-6.3
+1.2-1.9
+0.9-1.5
Quebec City vs Spokane+3.4-6.7
+0.9-1.8
+0.8-1.6
Quebec City vs Houston+3.8-6.3
+1.1-1.9
+0.9-1.5
Quebec City vs Cleveland+3.4-6.7
+0.9-1.8
+0.8-1.6
Quebec City vs Kansas City+3.4-6.6
+0.9-1.8
+0.8-1.6
Quebec City vs Indianapolis+4.1-5.9
+1.4-2.0
+1.0-1.5
Atlanta vs Quebec City-3.5+6.4
-2.0+3.7
-0.8+1.6
Portland vs Quebec City-4.6+5.0
-1.5+1.6
-1.1+1.3
Cincinnati vs Quebec City-4.7+4.9
-1.4+1.5
-1.1+1.2
Oakland vs Quebec City-4.4+5.2
-1.4+1.7
-1.1+1.3
Tulsa vs Quebec City-4.4+5.1
-1.4+1.6
-1.1+1.3
New Orleans vs Quebec City-3.6+5.8
-1.4+2.3
-0.9+1.5
Seattle vs Quebec City-3.6+5.8
-1.4+2.2
-0.9+1.5
San Antonio vs Quebec City-3.8+5.5
-1.3+1.9
-1.0+1.4
Milwaukee vs Quebec City-3.6+5.8
-1.4+2.3
-0.9+1.5
Oklahoma City vs Quebec City-3.2+6.0
-1.3+2.5
-0.9+1.6
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+1.1-2.6
-0.1+0.2
+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Jacksonville+1.2-2.6
+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs Jacksonville+1.3-2.4
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Jacksonville+1.3-2.4
+0.1-0.1
Utah vs Jacksonville+1.2-2.5
+0.0-0.1
Cleveland vs Jacksonville+1.3-2.3
+0.1-0.1
Las Vegas vs Jacksonville+1.4-2.2
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Houston-1.7+1.9
+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Tulsa-1.4+2.1
-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Cincinnati-1.3+2.2
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Jacksonville+1.4-2.2
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Oakland-1.4+2.1
-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Jacksonville+1.3-2.3
+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Jacksonville+1.1-2.5
-0.3+0.7
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs New Orleans-1.7+1.8
+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1
Milwaukee vs Jacksonville+1.1-2.4
-0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs San Antonio-1.6+1.9
-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Hartford+0.8-1.9
-0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.1
Oakland vs Hartford+0.9-1.7
+0.0-0.1
San Antonio vs Hartford+0.9-1.7
+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Hartford+1.0-1.6
+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Hartford+0.8-1.7
+0.0-0.1
Portland vs Hartford+0.9-1.6
+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Hartford+0.8-1.7
Tulsa vs Hartford+0.9-1.6
+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Hartford+0.7-1.7
-0.3+0.7
+0.0-0.1
Hartford vs Milwaukee-1.2+1.2
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Green Bay-1.0+1.4
-0.0+0.1
Hartford vs Utah-1.2+1.2
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Seattle-1.2+1.2
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Memphis-0.9+1.5
-0.0+0.1
Hartford vs Cleveland-1.0+1.4
Hartford vs Spokane-0.9+1.3
Hartford vs Kansas City-0.9+1.3
Jacksonville vs Charlotte-1.0+1.1
+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Memphis-0.6+1.4
-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Kansas City-0.7+1.4
-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Las Vegas-0.6+1.4
-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Indianapolis-0.8+1.2
+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Milwaukee-0.8+1.3
-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Green Bay-0.7+1.3
-0.0+0.1
Oakland vs Baltimore+0.9-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Baltimore+0.7-1.3
+0.0-0.1
Baltimore vs Houston-0.8+1.2
-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Cleveland-0.7+1.3
-0.0+0.1
New Orleans vs Baltimore+0.7-1.2
+0.0-0.1
Baltimore vs Utah-0.7+1.2
-0.0+0.1
Tulsa vs Baltimore+0.9-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Portland vs Baltimore+0.9-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.9-1.0
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Baltimore+0.7-1.2
+0.0-0.1
San Antonio vs Baltimore+0.8-1.1
+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Baltimore+0.6-1.2
-0.3+0.6
+0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs Baltimore-0.8+0.9
Charlotte vs Spokane-0.6+1.1
-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Charlotte vs Memphis-0.5+1.2
-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Charlotte vs New Orleans-0.6+1.0
-0.0+0.1
Charlotte vs Houston-0.6+1.0
-0.0+0.1
Charlotte vs Las Vegas-0.5+1.1
-0.0+0.1
Charlotte vs Indianapolis-0.7+1.0
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Charlotte+0.6-1.0
+0.0-0.1
Charlotte vs Green Bay-0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1
San Antonio vs Charlotte+0.6-0.9
+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1
Milwaukee vs Charlotte+0.6-1.0
Portland vs Charlotte+0.7-0.8
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Charlotte+0.7-0.8
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Oakland-0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Hartford vs Jacksonville+0.6-0.9
+0.0-0.1
Tulsa vs Charlotte+0.7-0.8
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Utah vs Charlotte+0.5-0.9

What If

Chances based on how well the Quebec City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
42-46InYes100376*
4019-03In97.4%9731,134
3818-04In92.392805,577
3617-05In77.577211019,405
3416-06In51.05140810052,456
3215-07In20.92143278100115,819
3014-08100.0%3.741933281341000205,929
2813-0999.80.1029212823124100000298,799
2612-01097.7No0027152324178200020359,938
2411-01189.3No0002715212114620010100358,345
2210-01269.0No000261319179219102000295,931
209-01340.9No000391614920188200202,110
188-01417.0No000313161726211020114,099
167-0155.0No00050029243122653,077
146-0160.9No01001521413119,650
125-0170.1No000529665,874
104-018OutNo110901,366
83-019OutNo397235
2-6OutNo100248*
Total:79.6%3.8%4666666665544432643222112,110,368

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs