How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Cleveland 1 New Orleans 5 +7.4
+1.5
+1.6
Memphis 1 Indianapolis 2 +1.7
+0.1
Jacksonville 0 Oklahoma City 5 -1.4
-0.1
Cincinnati 1 San Antonio 4 -1.4
-0.1
Houston 4 Las Vegas 1 -1.0
-0.0
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 +1.0
-0.1
+0.1
Seattle 4 Oklahoma City 3 +0.9
+0.0
Milwaukee 2 Tulsa 0 +0.9
+0.0
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 +0.7
-0.2
+0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
New Orleans vs Memphis+4.5-10.1
+1.0-2.2
+0.8-1.8
Tulsa vs New Orleans-6.4+7.4
-1.7+2.0
-1.2+1.4
New Orleans vs Houston+4.8-7.8
+1.4-2.2
+1.0-1.6
San Antonio vs New Orleans-5.0+7.2
-1.6+2.3
-1.0+1.5
Oklahoma City vs New Orleans-3.7+6.9
-1.6+2.9
-0.9+1.6
New Orleans vs Las Vegas+2.9-6.3
+1.0-2.2
+0.7-1.6
New Orleans vs Hartford+2.8-6.3
+1.0-2.2
+0.7-1.6
New Orleans vs Spokane+3.1-6.0
+1.1-2.1
+0.8-1.6
New Orleans vs Oakland+3.1-6.0
+1.1-2.1
+0.8-1.6
New Orleans vs Green Bay+3.1-6.0
+1.1-2.1
+0.8-1.6
New Orleans vs Quebec City+3.4-5.6
+1.4-2.2
+0.9-1.5
New Orleans vs Baltimore+3.4-5.6
+1.4-2.2
+0.9-1.5
New Orleans vs Utah+3.4-5.6
+1.4-2.3
+0.9-1.5
New Orleans vs Indianapolis+3.7-5.2
+1.7-2.4
+1.0-1.4
Cincinnati vs New Orleans-4.3+4.4
-1.8+1.8
-1.1+1.2
Jacksonville vs New Orleans-4.1+4.4
-1.7+1.9
-1.1+1.2
Kansas City vs New Orleans-3.9+4.6
-1.7+2.0
-1.1+1.3
Portland vs New Orleans-4.1+4.4
-1.7+1.9
-1.1+1.2
Charlotte vs New Orleans-3.2+5.2
-1.6+2.7
-0.9+1.5
Seattle vs New Orleans-3.2+5.1
-1.6+2.6
-0.9+1.5
Milwaukee vs New Orleans-3.1+5.1
-1.6+2.6
-0.9+1.5
Atlanta vs New Orleans-2.8+5.3
-2.4+4.5
-0.8+1.5
Utah vs Tulsa+0.9-1.7
+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs Tulsa+1.0-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Charlotte-1.2+1.4
+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Tulsa+1.0-1.6
+0.0-0.1
Tulsa vs Oakland-1.0+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Tulsa+1.0-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Quebec City-1.2+1.4
-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Tulsa+0.9-1.7
-0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs Tulsa+1.0-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Tulsa+0.8-1.7
-0.4+0.8
+0.0-0.1
Tulsa vs Indianapolis-1.2+1.3
+0.2-0.2
Tulsa vs Baltimore-1.1+1.3
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Hartford-0.9+1.6
-0.0+0.1
Portland vs Tulsa+1.0-1.5
+0.0-0.1
Tulsa vs Spokane-0.9+1.5
-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs Tulsa+0.9-1.5
+0.0-0.1
Tulsa vs Las Vegas-0.8+1.5
-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Memphis+0.7-1.5
Oakland vs Memphis+0.7-1.4
+0.0-0.1
Quebec City vs Memphis+0.7-1.5
-0.1+0.1
Hartford vs Memphis+0.8-1.3
+0.0-0.1
Portland vs Memphis+0.8-1.3
Charlotte vs Memphis+0.6-1.4
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Spokane-0.8+1.2
Memphis vs Cincinnati-0.8+1.2
-0.0+0.1
Memphis vs Milwaukee-1.0+1.0
+0.1-0.1
Memphis vs Utah-1.0+1.0
+0.1-0.1
Memphis vs Green Bay-0.8+1.2
Memphis vs Jacksonville-0.8+1.2
Memphis vs Seattle-1.0+1.0
+0.1-0.1
Memphis vs Cleveland-0.8+1.2
Memphis vs Las Vegas-0.7+1.2
Memphis vs Kansas City-0.8+1.1
Cleveland vs San Antonio+0.8-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Las Vegas vs San Antonio+0.8-1.0
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Quebec City-0.7+1.1
San Antonio vs Oakland-0.6+1.2
-0.0+0.1
San Antonio vs Portland-0.6+1.2
-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs San Antonio+0.7-1.0
+0.0-0.1
San Antonio vs Charlotte-0.7+1.0
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs San Antonio+0.8-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs San Antonio+0.7-1.0
+0.0-0.1
San Antonio vs Hartford-0.6+1.2
-0.0+0.1
Spokane vs San Antonio+0.7-1.0
+0.0-0.1
Milwaukee vs San Antonio+0.6-1.1
+0.0-0.1
San Antonio vs Baltimore-0.7+1.0
Indianapolis vs San Antonio+0.6-1.1
-0.1+0.2
Seattle vs San Antonio+0.6-1.1
Utah vs San Antonio+0.6-1.1
Houston vs Kansas City-0.6+1.1
-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Spokane-0.5+1.1
-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Utah-0.6+1.0
Houston vs Cleveland-0.5+1.0
-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Hartford-0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Milwaukee-0.6+0.9
Houston vs Seattle-0.6+0.9
Houston vs Green Bay-0.5+1.0
-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Indianapolis-0.6+0.9
+0.1-0.1
Quebec City vs Houston+0.5-0.9
Cincinnati vs Houston+0.7-0.7
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Houston+0.7-0.7
+0.0-0.1
Portland vs Houston+0.7-0.7
+0.0-0.1
Oakland vs Houston+0.6-0.8
+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Houston+0.5-0.9
-0.4+0.7
+0.0-0.1
Baltimore vs Houston+0.5-0.9
Oklahoma City vs Tulsa+0.4-0.9
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Houston+0.5-0.8
Atlanta vs Cincinnati-0.4+0.9
Atlanta vs Kansas City-0.4+0.8
Atlanta vs Hartford-0.3+0.9

What If

Chances based on how well the New Orleans finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
42-46InYes100511*
4019-03In97.6%9821,563
3818-04In92.592707,423
3617-05In77.477211024,701
3416-06In51.3514081064,666
3215-07In21.42143277100135,691
3014-08100.0%3.741933271331000228,799
2813-0999.90.10210212822124100000318,267
2612-01098.90.0000271623241782000100366,042
2411-01192.4No000281522211572007100348,388
2210-01273.1No00027142018921692000274,184
209-01343.0No001391614920188200179,795
188-01417.4No0041316172521102096,264
167-0154.6No0040029243222642,675
146-0160.8No0101521413215,573
125-0170.1No000428674,398
104-018OutNo010901,016
83-019OutNo199178
2-6OutNo100234*
Total:83.5%4.7%5777776665544332433221112,110,368

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs