How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Memphis 1 Indianapolis 2 -8.3
-0.4
-1.5
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 -4.9
-1.5
-1.0
Cleveland 1 New Orleans 5 -1.7
-0.1
Jacksonville 0 Oklahoma City 5 -1.7
-0.1
Cincinnati 1 San Antonio 4 -1.6
-0.1
Houston 4 Las Vegas 1 -1.1
-0.0
Seattle 4 Oklahoma City 3 +1.1
+0.0
Milwaukee 2 Tulsa 0 +1.0
+0.0
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 +1.0
-0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
San Antonio vs Memphis-6.7+13.0
-0.0+0.1
-0.8+1.6
Tulsa vs Memphis-6.9+12.8
-0.0+0.1
-0.9+1.6
Houston vs Memphis-5.7+12.7
-0.0+0.1
-0.7+1.6
New Orleans vs Memphis-5.6+12.4
-0.0+0.1
-0.7+1.6
Oklahoma City vs Memphis-5.0+12.2
-0.0+0.1
-0.7+1.6
Charlotte vs Memphis-3.9+8.6
-0.0+0.1
-0.6+1.4
Quebec City vs Memphis-3.8+8.5
-0.1+0.1
-0.6+1.4
Baltimore vs Memphis-3.8+8.5
-0.0+0.1
-0.6+1.4
Oakland vs Memphis-4.3+8.0
-0.0+0.1
-0.7+1.4
Portland vs Memphis-4.5+7.7
-0.0+0.1
-0.8+1.3
Hartford vs Memphis-4.6+7.5
-0.1+0.1
-0.8+1.3
Memphis vs Utah+5.8-6.0
+0.1-0.1
+1.0-1.0
Memphis vs Milwaukee+5.8-6.0
+0.1-0.1
+1.0-1.0
Memphis vs Seattle+5.8-6.0
+0.1-0.1
+1.0-1.0
Memphis vs Kansas City+4.8-6.9
+0.0-0.1
+0.8-1.2
Memphis vs Green Bay+4.8-6.8
+0.0-0.1
+0.8-1.2
Memphis vs Las Vegas+4.4-7.2
+0.0-0.1
+0.8-1.2
Memphis vs Cleveland+4.8-6.8
+0.0-0.1
+0.8-1.2
Memphis vs Spokane+4.7-6.8
+0.0-0.1
+0.8-1.2
Memphis vs Cincinnati+4.4-7.1
+0.0-0.1
+0.8-1.3
Memphis vs Jacksonville+4.5-7.0
+0.0-0.1
+0.8-1.2
Tulsa vs Las Vegas-1.1+2.1
-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Tulsa+1.2-1.9
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Baltimore-1.3+1.8
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Tulsa+1.0-2.1
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Tulsa+1.3-1.8
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Hartford-1.1+2.0
-0.0+0.1
Tulsa vs Spokane-1.2+1.9
-0.1+0.1
Portland vs Tulsa+1.2-1.8
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Baltimore-1.4+1.6
-0.1+0.1
San Antonio vs Hartford-1.0+2.0
-0.0+0.1
Tulsa vs Oakland-1.1+1.9
-0.1+0.1
Tulsa vs Quebec City-1.4+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Utah vs Tulsa+1.0-2.0
+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Tulsa+1.0-2.0
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Charlotte-1.4+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Tulsa+1.2-1.8
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Indianapolis-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
San Antonio vs Portland-1.0+2.0
-0.0+0.1
San Antonio vs Charlotte-1.2+1.7
-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Tulsa+1.1-1.8
+0.0-0.1
Milwaukee vs San Antonio+1.0-1.9
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Tulsa+1.1-1.8
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs San Antonio+1.2-1.7
+0.1-0.1
Utah vs San Antonio+1.0-1.9
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Quebec City-1.2+1.7
-0.1+0.1
San Antonio vs Oakland-1.0+1.9
-0.0+0.1
Spokane vs San Antonio+1.2-1.7
+0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs San Antonio+1.3-1.6
+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs San Antonio+1.2-1.7
+0.0-0.1
Las Vegas vs San Antonio+1.3-1.5
+0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs San Antonio+1.0-1.9
+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs San Antonio+1.1-1.6
+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs San Antonio+1.0-1.8
+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Spokane-0.8+1.6
-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Indianapolis-1.0+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Houston vs Milwaukee-0.9+1.5
-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Kansas City-0.8+1.5
-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Seattle-0.9+1.4
-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Hartford-0.7+1.6
Portland vs Houston+1.1-1.2
Jacksonville vs Houston+1.1-1.2
Houston vs Cleveland-0.8+1.5
Houston vs Green Bay-0.8+1.5
-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Utah-0.8+1.4
-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Houston+0.8-1.4
+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Houston+1.1-1.1
Oakland vs Houston+1.0-1.2
New Orleans vs Oakland-0.7+1.4
-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Houston+0.8-1.3
+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Hartford-0.7+1.5
New Orleans vs Baltimore-0.8+1.3
-0.0+0.1
Charlotte vs Houston+0.8-1.3
+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.7+1.4
New Orleans vs Quebec City-0.8+1.3
-0.0+0.1
New Orleans vs Las Vegas-0.7+1.4
New Orleans vs Spokane-0.7+1.3
New Orleans vs Utah-0.8+1.3
-0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs New Orleans+1.0-1.0
Quebec City vs Houston+0.8-1.3
New Orleans vs Indianapolis-0.8+1.2
-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs New Orleans+0.9-1.0
Jacksonville vs New Orleans+0.9-1.0
Seattle vs New Orleans+0.7-1.2
Portland vs New Orleans+0.9-1.0
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.6-1.2
+0.0-0.1
Charlotte vs New Orleans+0.7-1.1
Oklahoma City vs Charlotte-0.6+1.2
-0.0+0.1
Milwaukee vs New Orleans+0.7-1.1
Oklahoma City vs Oakland-0.6+1.2
Oklahoma City vs Baltimore-0.6+1.2
Oklahoma City vs Hartford-0.5+1.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Memphis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
4221-00In98.6%991216
4020-01InYes1002
3819-02In72.77318911
3618-03In64.364332129
3417-04In40.94148101886
3216-05In16.41642319204,084
3015-06100.0%2.32173329144100015,048
2814-0799.70.10282028231341000042,830
2613-0896.60.0000261523231782003098,913
2412-0982.7No0002714201913510015300185,699
2211-01054.2No000251115136125174000285,047
2010-01124.2No0002598122724113000360,853
189-0127.0No0015172029231020374,939
168-0131.4No001002112533226318,960
147-0140.2No000016224131221,016
126-0150.0No00053065122,530
105-016OutNo00128854,617
84-017OutNo039718,731
63-018OutNo1994,703
42-019OutNo0100822
0-2OutNo100332*
Total:27.7%0.1%000111222233333378899910112,110,368

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs