How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville 0 Oklahoma City 5 -8.2
-1.3
-1.7
Jacksonville 5 Portland 1 +5.0
+0.8
+1.0
Kansas City 1 Charlotte 5 -2.0
-0.1
Hartford 0 Indianapolis 1 +1.9
+0.1
Hartford 4 Las Vegas 5 +1.8
+0.1
Baltimore 1 Spokane 0 -1.2
-0.1
Quebec City 2 Green Bay 0 -1.2
-0.1
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 -0.4
-0.1
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 -0.2
-0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Jacksonville vs Quebec City+10.1-10.8
+0.2-0.2
+1.3-1.3
Jacksonville vs Baltimore+10.1-10.8
+0.2-0.2
+1.2-1.3
Jacksonville vs Charlotte+9.6-10.3
+0.2-0.2
+1.2-1.3
Hartford vs Jacksonville-7.6+12.0
-0.2+0.2
-1.0+1.6
Atlanta vs Jacksonville-4.4+10.3
-0.2+0.5
-0.7+1.6
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville-4.1+9.6
-0.2+0.4
-0.7+1.6
Seattle vs Jacksonville-4.3+9.2
-0.2+0.3
-0.7+1.6
Spokane vs Jacksonville-4.9+8.7
-0.1+0.3
-0.8+1.5
Cleveland vs Jacksonville-4.9+8.7
-0.2+0.3
-0.8+1.5
Green Bay vs Jacksonville-4.8+8.7
-0.1+0.3
-0.8+1.5
Utah vs Jacksonville-4.3+9.2
-0.2+0.3
-0.7+1.6
Milwaukee vs Jacksonville-4.3+9.2
-0.2+0.3
-0.7+1.6
Kansas City vs Jacksonville-4.8+8.6
-0.1+0.3
-0.8+1.5
Las Vegas vs Jacksonville-5.2+8.3
-0.2+0.3
-0.9+1.4
Memphis vs Jacksonville-5.2+8.2
-0.2+0.2
-0.9+1.4
Jacksonville vs Tulsa+5.4-8.0
+0.1-0.2
+0.9-1.4
Jacksonville vs Houston+6.4-6.9
+0.2-0.2
+1.1-1.2
Jacksonville vs New Orleans+6.4-6.9
+0.2-0.2
+1.1-1.2
Jacksonville vs Oakland+5.3-7.9
+0.1-0.2
+0.9-1.4
Jacksonville vs San Antonio+6.0-7.3
+0.2-0.2
+1.0-1.2
Jacksonville vs Cincinnati+4.9-8.3
+0.1-0.2
+0.8-1.4
Baltimore vs Kansas City-1.3+2.5
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Indianapolis-1.5+2.2
-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Las Vegas-1.2+2.6
-0.0+0.1
Quebec City vs Houston-1.4+2.3
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Utah-1.4+2.3
-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Green Bay-1.2+2.4
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Memphis-1.1+2.5
-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Cleveland-1.2+2.4
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Las Vegas-1.1+2.5
-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Memphis-1.1+2.5
-0.0+0.1
Quebec City vs Cleveland-1.2+2.4
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Spokane-1.2+2.4
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Kansas City-1.2+2.4
-0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+1.8-1.8
+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Milwaukee-1.4+2.2
-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Indianapolis-1.5+2.1
-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Utah-1.4+2.2
-0.1+0.1
Portland vs Baltimore+1.7-1.9
+0.1-0.1
Portland vs Quebec City+1.7-1.8
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Quebec City+1.4-2.1
+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Baltimore+1.6-1.9
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Baltimore+1.6-1.9
+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Houston-1.3+2.2
-0.1+0.1
Oakland vs Quebec City+1.6-1.9
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Baltimore+1.4-2.0
+0.1-0.1
Milwaukee vs Quebec City+1.3-2.1
+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Baltimore+1.3-2.1
+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Baltimore+1.3-2.1
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Memphis-1.0+2.3
-0.0+0.1
Tulsa vs Quebec City+1.6-1.8
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Quebec City+1.7-1.7
+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Quebec City+1.3-2.1
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Baltimore+1.2-2.2
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Las Vegas-1.0+2.3
-0.0+0.1
New Orleans vs Quebec City+1.3-2.1
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Houston-1.3+2.1
-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Quebec City+1.2-2.2
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Oakland-1.1+2.2
-0.0+0.1
Charlotte vs Indianapolis-1.3+1.9
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Spokane-1.1+2.1
-0.0+0.1
Charlotte vs New Orleans-1.2+2.0
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Green Bay-1.1+2.1
-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Charlotte+1.2-2.0
+0.1-0.1
Utah vs Charlotte+1.2-2.0
+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Charlotte+1.4-1.7
+0.1-0.1
Milwaukee vs Charlotte+1.2-1.9
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Charlotte+1.5-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Baltimore+1.1-2.0
-0.0+0.1
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Hartford+1.1-2.0
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Charlotte+1.4-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Portland vs Charlotte+1.5-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Quebec City+1.1-2.0
-0.0+0.1
+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Hartford+0.9-2.1
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Charlotte+1.0-1.9
+0.0-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Hartford+0.9-2.1
+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Hartford+0.9-2.0
+0.0-0.1
Portland vs Hartford+1.1-1.9
+0.0-0.1
Oakland vs Hartford+1.0-1.9
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Charlotte+1.2-1.7
+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Hartford+1.1-1.8
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Spokane-1.2+1.7
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Hartford+0.8-2.0
-0.0+0.1
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Utah-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
San Antonio vs Hartford+1.0-1.9
+0.0-0.1
Hartford vs Seattle-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Hartford vs Milwaukee-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Hartford vs Cleveland-1.1+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Charlotte+1.0-1.8
-0.0+0.1
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Kansas City-1.1+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Hartford vs Memphis-1.0+1.7
-0.0+0.1
Hartford vs Green Bay-1.1+1.6
-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Jacksonville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
40-44InYes100237*
3818-03In91.0%91989
3617-04In81.481171678
3416-05In55.15537813,147
3215-06In22.8234326710011,948
3014-0799.9%4.04193327133100035,011
2813-0899.20.20292128221241001083,521
2612-0994.8No0027152223167200050163,033
2411-01080.2No00002613191913620018200259,968
2210-01153.8No00015101514722815300344,582
209-01226.2No00015109122623102000375,685
188-0138.8No00027171928231120336,519
167-0142.0No002002102432226247,017
146-0150.3No00015214131146,341
125-0160.0No0005296668,856
104-017OutNo0118825,262
83-018OutNo03976,793
62-019OutNo1991,286
2-4OutNo100395*
Total:38.6%0.3%01112223333333331088877772,110,368

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs