How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Hartford 0 Indianapolis 1 +7.4
+1.5
+1.6
Memphis 1 Indianapolis 2 +7.2
+1.4
+1.6
Cincinnati 1 San Antonio 4 +1.6
+0.1
Cincinnati 2 Portland 5 +1.6
+0.1
Kansas City 1 Charlotte 5 +1.6
+0.1
Cleveland 1 New Orleans 5 +1.5
+0.1
Milwaukee 2 Tulsa 0 -1.0
-0.0
Quebec City 2 Green Bay 0 +0.9
+0.0
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 -0.2
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Indianapolis vs Cincinnati+1.5-3.7
+1.7-4.1
+0.6-1.4
Indianapolis vs Kansas City+1.6-3.5
+1.8-4.0
+0.6-1.4
Indianapolis vs Cleveland+1.6-3.5
+1.8-4.1
+0.6-1.4
Indianapolis vs Green Bay+1.5-3.4
+1.8-4.1
+0.6-1.4
Indianapolis vs Milwaukee+1.4-2.6
+2.3-4.3
+0.7-1.4
Indianapolis vs Las Vegas+1.0-2.3
+1.7-4.1
+0.6-1.4
Indianapolis vs Spokane+1.0-2.2
+1.8-4.0
+0.6-1.4
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+1.0-2.3
+1.7-4.1
+0.6-1.4
Indianapolis vs San Antonio+1.1-2.1
+2.1-4.1
+0.7-1.4
Indianapolis vs Seattle+1.1-2.0
+2.3-4.3
+0.7-1.4
Indianapolis vs Utah+1.1-2.0
+2.3-4.3
+0.7-1.4
Portland vs Indianapolis-1.5+1.4
-3.3+3.1
-1.0+0.9
Oakland vs Indianapolis-1.4+1.4
-3.1+3.3
-0.9+1.0
Tulsa vs Indianapolis-1.4+1.4
-3.2+3.3
-0.9+1.0
New Orleans vs Indianapolis-1.1+1.6
-3.1+4.4
-0.8+1.2
Quebec City vs Indianapolis-1.1+1.6
-3.0+4.3
-0.8+1.2
Baltimore vs Indianapolis-1.1+1.6
-3.0+4.3
-0.8+1.2
Houston vs Indianapolis-1.1+1.6
-3.0+4.3
-0.8+1.2
Charlotte vs Indianapolis-1.1+1.6
-3.0+4.4
-0.8+1.2
Atlanta vs Indianapolis-1.0+1.6
-4.7+7.7
-0.8+1.2
Oklahoma City vs Indianapolis-1.0+1.6
-3.0+4.8
-0.8+1.2
Memphis vs Cincinnati+0.3-0.5
Cleveland vs Oklahoma City-0.4+0.4
+0.2-0.2
Seattle vs Cincinnati+0.2-0.5
-0.1+0.2
Spokane vs Kansas City+0.3-0.4
Hartford vs Kansas City+0.3-0.4
Spokane vs Cincinnati+0.2-0.5
Kansas City vs New Orleans-0.3+0.4
+0.2-0.2
Kansas City vs Tulsa-0.3+0.4
Atlanta vs Cleveland+0.2-0.5
-0.7+1.6
Green Bay vs Portland-0.3+0.4
Las Vegas vs Cincinnati+0.3-0.4
Memphis vs Kansas City+0.3-0.4
Jacksonville vs Cincinnati+0.3-0.4
Hartford vs Cleveland+0.3-0.4
Cleveland vs Seattle-0.3+0.4
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Oklahoma City-0.3+0.3
+0.2-0.2
Kansas City vs Jacksonville-0.2+0.4
Cincinnati vs Hartford-0.3+0.4
Las Vegas vs Cleveland+0.3-0.4
Spokane vs Cleveland+0.3-0.4
Cincinnati vs Quebec City-0.3+0.3
+0.2-0.2
Kansas City vs Seattle-0.3+0.4
+0.1-0.2
Cleveland vs Charlotte-0.3+0.4
+0.2-0.2
Atlanta vs Kansas City+0.2-0.5
-0.7+1.6
Cincinnati vs Tulsa-0.3+0.4
Baltimore vs Kansas City+0.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2
Baltimore vs Cleveland+0.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2
Atlanta vs Cincinnati+0.2-0.5
-0.7+1.7
Cincinnati vs Oklahoma City-0.3+0.3
+0.3-0.2
Quebec City vs Kansas City+0.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2
Las Vegas vs Kansas City+0.3-0.4
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-0.3+0.3
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs New Orleans-0.3+0.3
+0.2-0.2
Cleveland vs San Antonio-0.3+0.4
Cincinnati vs Houston-0.3+0.3
+0.2-0.2
Houston vs Cleveland+0.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2
Oakland vs Green Bay+0.2-0.4
Cleveland vs Portland-0.2+0.4
Utah vs Cincinnati+0.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2
Cleveland vs Tulsa-0.2+0.4
Oakland vs Cleveland+0.2-0.4
Utah vs Kansas City+0.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2
Kansas City vs Oakland-0.2+0.4
Houston vs Kansas City+0.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2
Kansas City vs Portland-0.2+0.4
Green Bay vs Jacksonville-0.2+0.4
Green Bay vs Tulsa-0.2+0.4
Cleveland vs Jacksonville-0.2+0.4
Quebec City vs Cleveland+0.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2
Cincinnati vs Charlotte-0.3+0.3
+0.2-0.2
Atlanta vs Green Bay+0.2-0.4
-0.7+1.6
Las Vegas vs Green Bay+0.3-0.4
Cincinnati vs Oakland-0.3+0.4
Houston vs Green Bay+0.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2
Atlanta vs Milwaukee+0.1-0.2
-0.7+1.3
Atlanta vs Spokane-0.7+1.6
Atlanta vs Jacksonville-0.7+1.6
Atlanta vs Hartford-0.7+1.6
-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Tulsa-0.7+1.6
Atlanta vs Oakland-0.7+1.6
Atlanta vs Portland-0.7+1.6
Atlanta vs Las Vegas-0.6+1.5
Atlanta vs Seattle-0.7+1.3
Atlanta vs Utah-0.7+1.3
Atlanta vs Houston-0.7+1.3
Atlanta vs Baltimore-0.7+1.3
Atlanta vs Quebec City-0.7+1.3
Atlanta vs Charlotte-0.7+1.3
Atlanta vs New Orleans-0.6+1.2
Atlanta vs Oklahoma City-0.7+1.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Indianapolis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
44-46InYes100357*
4219-02In99.3%9911,029
4018-03In98.098205,847
3817-04In91.3919021,778
3616-05In77.077221061,870
3415-06In50.95141810136,924
3214-07In21.22144277100238,054
3013-08In3.64193327133100333,401
2812-09100.0%0.10292128231241000378,897
2611-01099.9No0027152324189310000353,756
2410-01198.8No00027162323178200100269,680
229-01291.8No0002817252312353100169,280
208-01371.4No000151628224109410086,788
187-01439.6No0210270412191682036,274
166-01514.2No0212028223020512,068
145-0163.0No030152340283,339
124-0170.7No1052965681
103-018OutNo1783110
82-019OutNo118919
40-021OutNo100216
Total:96.3%9.8%1012109876655443322111100002,110,368

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs