How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Houston 4 Las Vegas 1 +4.8
+0.8
+1.0
Memphis 1 Indianapolis 2 +1.7
+0.1
Cincinnati 1 San Antonio 4 -1.5
-0.1
Jacksonville 0 Oklahoma City 5 -1.4
-0.1
Cleveland 1 New Orleans 5 -1.4
-0.1
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 +1.0
-0.1
+0.1
Milwaukee 2 Tulsa 0 +0.9
+0.0
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 +0.8
-0.2
+0.1
Seattle 4 Oklahoma City 3 +0.8
+0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Houston vs Memphis+5.1-11.4
+0.8-1.8
+0.8-1.9
Tulsa vs Houston-7.2+8.5
-1.4+1.7
-1.2+1.4
San Antonio vs Houston-5.7+8.2
-1.3+1.9
-1.1+1.6
New Orleans vs Houston-4.8+7.9
-1.4+2.2
-1.0+1.6
Oklahoma City vs Houston-4.2+7.8
-1.3+2.4
-0.9+1.7
Houston vs Hartford+3.2-7.1
+0.8-1.8
+0.7-1.6
Houston vs Kansas City+3.5-6.7
+0.9-1.7
+0.8-1.6
Houston vs Milwaukee+3.9-6.3
+1.1-1.8
+0.9-1.5
Houston vs Spokane+3.4-6.7
+0.9-1.8
+0.8-1.6
Houston vs Cleveland+3.4-6.7
+0.9-1.8
+0.8-1.6
Houston vs Utah+3.8-6.2
+1.2-1.9
+0.9-1.5
Houston vs Seattle+3.8-6.2
+1.1-1.8
+0.9-1.5
Houston vs Green Bay+3.4-6.6
+0.9-1.8
+0.8-1.6
Houston vs Indianapolis+4.1-5.8
+1.4-2.0
+1.0-1.4
Jacksonville vs Houston-4.7+5.0
-1.4+1.6
-1.1+1.2
Cincinnati vs Houston-4.7+4.9
-1.4+1.5
-1.1+1.2
Portland vs Houston-4.6+5.0
-1.4+1.6
-1.1+1.3
Oakland vs Houston-4.4+5.2
-1.4+1.6
-1.1+1.3
Baltimore vs Houston-3.6+5.8
-1.3+2.2
-0.9+1.5
Charlotte vs Houston-3.5+5.8
-1.4+2.2
-0.9+1.5
Quebec City vs Houston-3.5+5.8
-1.3+2.2
-0.9+1.5
Atlanta vs Houston-3.2+6.1
-2.0+3.7
-0.8+1.5
Portland vs Tulsa+1.2-1.8
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Tulsa+1.2-1.8
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Las Vegas-1.0+1.9
-0.0+0.1
Tulsa vs Quebec City-1.3+1.6
+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1
Cleveland vs Tulsa+1.1-1.8
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Spokane-1.1+1.8
-0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Tulsa+1.0-1.9
+0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs Tulsa+1.2-1.7
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Hartford-1.0+1.9
-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Tulsa+1.1-1.8
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Oakland-1.1+1.8
-0.0+0.1
Tulsa vs Charlotte-1.3+1.5
+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1
Tulsa vs Baltimore-1.3+1.5
+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1
Tulsa vs Indianapolis-1.4+1.5
+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Tulsa+0.9-2.0
-0.3+0.7
+0.0-0.1
Utah vs Tulsa+0.9-1.8
+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs Tulsa+1.0-1.7
+0.0-0.1
Charlotte vs Memphis+0.8-1.7
+0.0-0.1
Oakland vs Memphis+0.8-1.6
+0.0-0.1
Portland vs Memphis+0.9-1.5
+0.0-0.1
Memphis vs Green Bay-1.0+1.4
Baltimore vs Memphis+0.7-1.6
Memphis vs Las Vegas-0.9+1.4
San Antonio vs Portland-0.8+1.5
-0.0+0.1
Quebec City vs Memphis+0.7-1.6
Hartford vs Memphis+0.9-1.4
+0.0-0.1
Memphis vs Spokane-0.9+1.3
Memphis vs Jacksonville-0.9+1.4
Memphis vs Seattle-1.1+1.1
+0.1-0.1
Memphis vs Cleveland-0.9+1.3
Memphis vs Milwaukee-1.1+1.1
Memphis vs Kansas City-0.9+1.3
Memphis vs Cincinnati-0.8+1.4
-0.0+0.1
Memphis vs Utah-1.1+1.1
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Oakland-0.8+1.4
-0.0+0.1
San Antonio vs Quebec City-0.9+1.3
-0.0+0.1
Indianapolis vs San Antonio+0.7-1.4
-0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.1
San Antonio vs Charlotte-0.9+1.2
+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1
Cleveland vs San Antonio+0.9-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs San Antonio+0.9-1.1
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Baltimore-0.9+1.2
-0.0+0.1
San Antonio vs Hartford-0.7+1.4
-0.0+0.1
Spokane vs San Antonio+0.9-1.2
+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs San Antonio+0.9-1.2
+0.0-0.1
Utah vs San Antonio+0.7-1.3
+0.0-0.1
Milwaukee vs San Antonio+0.7-1.3
+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs San Antonio+0.7-1.3
+0.0-0.1
Las Vegas vs San Antonio+0.9-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs San Antonio+0.8-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Tulsa+0.5-1.2
-0.1+0.1
Tulsa vs New Orleans-0.8+0.9
+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Indianapolis-0.6+0.9
+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Quebec City-0.5+0.9
New Orleans vs Hartford-0.4+1.0
-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1
New Orleans vs Oakland-0.5+0.9
-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1
New Orleans vs Spokane-0.5+0.9
-0.0+0.1
New Orleans vs Baltimore-0.5+0.9
New Orleans vs Las Vegas-0.4+0.9
-0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs New Orleans+0.7-0.7
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs New Orleans+0.5-0.8
Kansas City vs New Orleans+0.6-0.7
+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1
Portland vs New Orleans+0.6-0.7
+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Utah-0.5+0.8
Jacksonville vs New Orleans+0.6-0.7
+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.4+0.9
-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Memphis+0.4-0.9
-0.0+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Baltimore-0.5+0.8
-0.0+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Quebec City-0.4+0.8
Seattle vs New Orleans+0.5-0.8
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.4-0.8
-0.3+0.5
+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
44-46InYes100224*
4220-02In99.4%991168
4019-03In98.39821,158
3818-04In91.692805,232
3617-05In77.778211018,756
3416-06In51.2514081051,431
3215-07In21.22143278100113,640
3014-08100.0%3.741933271331000202,596
2813-0999.90.1029212823124100000296,023
2612-01098.70.0000271523241782000100358,939
2411-01191.5No0000271522211562007100358,129
2210-01271.4No000271420179217102000298,350
209-01341.3No000391614920188200205,782
188-01416.6No000313161826211020117,009
167-0154.4No00400210243122654,263
146-0160.7No0101520413220,591
125-0170.1No000428676,075
104-018OutNo112881,458
83-019OutNo397294
62-020OutNo39732
2-4OutNo100218*
Total:80.1%3.8%4666666665554432543322112,110,368

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs