How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Hartford 4 Las Vegas 5 -8.3
-1.3
-1.6
Hartford 0 Indianapolis 1 -8.3
-1.3
-1.6
Jacksonville 0 Oklahoma City 5 +2.0
+0.1
Kansas City 1 Charlotte 5 -2.0
-0.1
Jacksonville 5 Portland 1 -1.3
-0.1
Baltimore 1 Spokane 0 -1.2
-0.1
Quebec City 2 Green Bay 0 -1.2
-0.1
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 -0.4
-0.2
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 -0.2
-0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Baltimore vs Hartford-5.4+12.0
-0.0+0.1
-0.7+1.5
Quebec City vs Hartford-5.3+11.9
-0.0+0.1
-0.7+1.5
Charlotte vs Hartford-5.2+11.6
-0.0+0.1
-0.7+1.5
Hartford vs Jacksonville+5.9-9.4
+0.0-0.1
+0.8-1.3
Atlanta vs Hartford-3.4+8.3
-0.1+0.1
-0.5+1.3
Oklahoma City vs Hartford-3.1+7.6
-0.0+0.1
-0.6+1.4
Houston vs Hartford-3.3+7.4
-0.0+0.1
-0.6+1.3
Oakland vs Hartford-3.7+6.9
-0.0+0.1
-0.7+1.3
New Orleans vs Hartford-3.3+7.3
-0.0+0.1
-0.6+1.3
Portland vs Hartford-3.9+6.6
-0.0+0.1
-0.7+1.2
San Antonio vs Hartford-3.5+6.9
-0.0+0.1
-0.6+1.3
Tulsa vs Hartford-3.6+6.8
-0.0+0.1
-0.7+1.3
Cincinnati vs Hartford-3.9+6.4
-0.0+0.1
-0.7+1.2
Hartford vs Utah+5.0-5.2
+0.1-0.1
+0.9-0.9
Hartford vs Seattle+4.9-5.1
+0.1-0.1
+0.9-0.9
Hartford vs Milwaukee+4.9-5.1
+0.1-0.1
+0.9-0.9
Hartford vs Green Bay+4.1-5.8
+0.0-0.1
+0.8-1.1
Hartford vs Spokane+4.0-5.8
+0.0-0.1
+0.8-1.1
Hartford vs Cleveland+4.0-5.7
+0.0-0.1
+0.8-1.1
Hartford vs Memphis+3.7-6.0
+0.0-0.1
+0.7-1.2
Hartford vs Kansas City+4.0-5.7
+0.0-0.1
+0.8-1.1
Quebec City vs Spokane-0.9+1.8
-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Houston-1.1+1.7
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Utah-1.0+1.7
-0.1+0.1
Milwaukee vs Jacksonville+0.9-1.9
+0.1-0.1
Quebec City vs Las Vegas-0.8+1.9
-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Jacksonville+0.9-1.8
+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Green Bay-0.9+1.8
-0.0+0.1
Quebec City vs Memphis-0.8+1.8
Baltimore vs Las Vegas-0.8+1.8
-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Utah-1.0+1.7
-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Cleveland-0.9+1.7
-0.0+0.1
Spokane vs Jacksonville+0.9-1.7
+0.0-0.1
Utah vs Jacksonville+0.8-1.8
+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Memphis-0.8+1.8
Memphis vs Jacksonville+1.0-1.6
+0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs Jacksonville+0.9-1.7
+0.0-0.1
Las Vegas vs Jacksonville+1.0-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Oakland-1.0+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs San Antonio-1.2+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Cleveland-0.9+1.7
-0.0+0.1
Quebec City vs Houston-1.0+1.6
-0.0+0.1
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+0.8-1.8
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Quebec City+1.3-1.3
Baltimore vs Milwaukee-1.0+1.6
-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Indianapolis-1.0+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Kansas City-0.9+1.7
-0.0+0.1
Cleveland vs Jacksonville+0.9-1.6
+0.0-0.1
Quebec City vs Indianapolis-1.0+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Kansas City-0.9+1.7
-0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs Tulsa-1.0+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Oakland vs Quebec City+1.2-1.4
Charlotte vs Green Bay-0.9+1.7
-0.0+0.1
Charlotte vs Spokane-0.9+1.7
-0.0+0.1
San Antonio vs Baltimore+1.0-1.5
+0.0-0.1
Oakland vs Baltimore+1.2-1.3
Jacksonville vs Houston-1.2+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+1.2-1.3
Portland vs Quebec City+1.2-1.3
Portland vs Baltimore+1.2-1.3
Jacksonville vs Cincinnati-0.9+1.6
-0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs New Orleans-1.2+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Oakland-0.8+1.6
-0.0+0.1
San Antonio vs Quebec City+1.0-1.5
+0.0-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Quebec City+0.9-1.6
+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs Jacksonville+0.9-1.6
+0.0-0.1
Tulsa vs Baltimore+1.1-1.3
Charlotte vs Las Vegas-0.8+1.7
-0.0+0.1
New Orleans vs Quebec City+0.9-1.5
+0.0-0.1
Tulsa vs Quebec City+1.1-1.3
Seattle vs Baltimore+0.9-1.5
+0.0-0.1
Milwaukee vs Quebec City+0.9-1.5
+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Jacksonville+0.7-1.7
+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Quebec City+0.9-1.5
+0.0-0.1
Charlotte vs Indianapolis-1.0+1.4
-0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Baltimore+0.9-1.5
+0.0-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Baltimore+0.8-1.5
+0.0-0.1
Charlotte vs New Orleans-0.9+1.4
-0.0+0.1
Charlotte vs Memphis-0.7+1.6
Cleveland vs Charlotte+1.1-1.2
Portland vs Charlotte+1.1-1.2
Charlotte vs Houston-0.9+1.4
-0.0+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Charlotte+0.8-1.4
+0.0-0.1
Tulsa vs Charlotte+1.0-1.2
Cincinnati vs Charlotte+1.1-1.1
San Antonio vs Charlotte+0.9-1.3
+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Charlotte+0.8-1.4
+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Quebec City+0.8-1.4
+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Baltimore+0.8-1.4
+0.0-0.1
Utah vs Charlotte+0.8-1.3
+0.0-0.1
Milwaukee vs Charlotte+0.8-1.3
+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Charlotte+0.7-1.3
+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Hartford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
4221-00In99.5%1000216
3819-02In87.588138
3618-03In78.67919284
3417-04In54.7553690534
3216-05In23.22344257102,693
3015-0699.9%4.0420342712300010,254
2814-0798.90.2021022282211410001031,011
2613-0893.00.0000271522221572007077,438
2412-0975.3No0002613181812510021300154,689
2211-01046.8No00014913126130194000253,451
2010-01120.4No000148712282512300342,288
189-0126.1No0015161929241130379,176
168-0131.2No001002102533237345,705
147-0140.1No00015214132254,673
126-0150.0No00042967152,017
105-0160.0No000118971,234
84-017OutNo039726,025
63-018OutNo01007,145
0-4OutNo1001,727*
Total:21.3%0.1%0001111122222222788991012142,110,368

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs