How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati 2 Portland 5 -8.2
-1.3
-1.7
Cincinnati 1 San Antonio 4 -8.2
-1.4
-1.7
Cleveland 1 New Orleans 5 +1.7
+0.1
Kansas City 1 Charlotte 5 +1.7
+0.1
Hartford 0 Indianapolis 1 -1.6
-0.1
Memphis 1 Indianapolis 2 -1.5
-0.1
Milwaukee 2 Tulsa 0 -1.0
-0.0
Quebec City 2 Green Bay 0 +1.0
+0.0
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 -0.2
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Kansas City vs Cincinnati-7.5+13.9
-0.0+0.1
-0.8+1.6
Cleveland vs Cincinnati-7.4+13.8
-0.0+0.1
-0.8+1.6
Green Bay vs Cincinnati-7.4+13.8
-0.0+0.1
-0.8+1.6
Milwaukee vs Cincinnati-5.4+12.1
-0.0+0.1
-0.7+1.5
Indianapolis vs Cincinnati-4.4+10.9
-0.0+0.1
-0.6+1.5
Atlanta vs Cincinnati-3.8+9.3
-0.1+0.1
-0.6+1.4
Seattle vs Cincinnati-4.0+9.0
-0.0+0.1
-0.6+1.4
Spokane vs Cincinnati-4.5+8.4
-0.0+0.1
-0.7+1.3
Utah vs Cincinnati-4.0+8.9
-0.0+0.1
-0.6+1.4
Jacksonville vs Cincinnati-4.8+8.1
-0.0+0.1
-0.8+1.3
Memphis vs Cincinnati-4.9+7.9
-0.0+0.1
-0.8+1.3
Las Vegas vs Cincinnati-4.8+7.9
-0.0+0.1
-0.8+1.3
Cincinnati vs Oklahoma City+6.7-5.9
+0.1-0.1
+1.0-0.9
Cincinnati vs New Orleans+6.2-6.4
+0.1-0.1
+0.9-1.0
Cincinnati vs Charlotte+6.2-6.4
+0.1-0.1
+0.9-1.0
Cincinnati vs Quebec City+6.2-6.4
+0.1-0.1
+0.9-1.0
Cincinnati vs Houston+6.1-6.4
+0.1-0.1
+0.9-1.0
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+6.1-6.4
+0.1-0.1
+0.9-1.0
Cincinnati vs Tulsa+5.1-7.3
+0.0-0.1
+0.8-1.1
Cincinnati vs Oakland+5.1-7.3
+0.0-0.1
+0.8-1.1
Cincinnati vs Hartford+4.6-7.5
+0.0-0.1
+0.7-1.2
Kansas City vs Portland-1.3+2.3
-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs San Antonio-1.5+2.1
-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Oklahoma City-1.8+1.8
-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs San Antonio-1.5+2.1
-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Jacksonville-1.3+2.3
-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs New Orleans-1.6+1.9
-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Cleveland+1.2-2.3
+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Jacksonville-1.3+2.3
-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Oklahoma City-1.7+1.8
-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Seattle-1.6+1.9
-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Tulsa-1.3+2.2
-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Jacksonville-1.3+2.2
-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Charlotte-1.6+1.9
-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Tulsa-1.3+2.2
-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Tulsa-1.3+2.2
-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Utah-1.6+1.9
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Green Bay+1.4-2.0
+0.1-0.1
Memphis vs Cleveland+1.4-2.0
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Seattle-1.6+1.9
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Cleveland+1.1-2.4
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Cleveland+1.4-2.0
+0.0-0.1
Memphis vs Kansas City+1.4-2.0
+0.1-0.1
Las Vegas vs Kansas City+1.4-2.0
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Oakland-1.3+2.1
-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Portland-1.2+2.2
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Cleveland+1.2-2.3
+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Kansas City+1.1-2.4
+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Kansas City+1.2-2.3
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Oklahoma City-1.7+1.7
-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Seattle-1.6+1.8
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Kansas City+1.2-2.2
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs San Antonio-1.4+2.0
-0.1+0.1
Hartford vs Kansas City+1.4-2.0
+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Cleveland+1.1-2.2
+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Cleveland+1.3-2.1
+0.0-0.1
Hartford vs Green Bay+1.4-2.0
+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Green Bay+1.0-2.3
+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Green Bay+1.3-2.1
+0.1-0.1
Utah vs Cleveland+1.1-2.2
+0.1-0.1
Utah vs Kansas City+1.1-2.2
+0.1-0.1
Las Vegas vs Green Bay+1.4-2.0
+0.1-0.1
Las Vegas vs Cleveland+1.4-2.0
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Portland-1.2+2.1
-0.1+0.1
Houston vs Green Bay+1.1-2.2
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Kansas City+1.3-2.1
+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Kansas City+1.1-2.2
+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+1.1-2.2
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Green Bay+1.2-2.0
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Cleveland+1.2-2.0
+0.0-0.1
Baltimore vs Green Bay+1.1-2.1
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Green Bay+1.1-2.1
+0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Kansas City+0.8-1.8
+0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Cleveland+0.8-1.7
+0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Green Bay+0.8-1.7
+0.0-0.1
Cleveland vs Milwaukee-0.9+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Milwaukee-0.9+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Milwaukee-0.9+1.0
-0.0+0.1
Milwaukee vs Oakland-0.6+1.1
Milwaukee vs Seattle-0.6+1.1
Milwaukee vs New Orleans-0.6+1.0
Milwaukee vs San Antonio-0.6+1.1
Milwaukee vs Jacksonville-0.5+1.1
Milwaukee vs Charlotte-0.6+1.0
Spokane vs Milwaukee+0.7-0.8
Milwaukee vs Portland-0.5+1.1
Hartford vs Milwaukee+0.8-0.8
Milwaukee vs Oklahoma City-0.6+0.9
Las Vegas vs Milwaukee+0.7-0.8
Houston vs Milwaukee+0.6-0.9
Baltimore vs Milwaukee+0.6-0.9

What If

Chances based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
38-42InYes100221*
3618-03In79.4%792163
3417-04In59.7603550476
3216-05In27.62845225102,207
3015-06In5.35243424102008,634
2814-07100.0%0.2031223272010310026,782
2613-0899.3No002817242316720001066,805
2412-0994.5No00128152222167200510138,292
2211-01077.7No00026142120123137200233,471
2010-01148.6No0003919187171682000326,082
189-01221.1No000416141423221130374,889
168-0136.1No00600182132248355,125
147-0141.1No010004194135275,325
126-0150.1No000042769171,580
105-0160.0No000108985,432
84-017OutNo039733,026
63-018OutNo1999,540
0-4OutNo1002,418*
Total:32.2%0.1%0000111122233457346781013172,110,368

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs