How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 +1.8
+4.8
+0.8
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 +0.9
+5.5
+0.5
Jacksonville 0 Oklahoma City 5 +0.3
Hartford 0 Indianapolis 1 +0.3
Hartford 4 Las Vegas 5 +0.3
Kansas City 1 Charlotte 5 -0.3
Baltimore 1 Spokane 0 -0.2
Quebec City 2 Green Bay 0 -0.2
Jacksonville 5 Portland 1 -0.2
Memphis 1 Indianapolis 2 -0.4
Milwaukee 2 Tulsa 0 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Atlanta vs Jacksonville+0.6-1.4
+4.4-10.4
+0.3-0.8
Atlanta vs Hartford+0.5-1.3
+4.2-10.4
+0.3-0.8
Atlanta vs Baltimore+0.6-1.1
+6.0-11.2
+0.4-0.8
Atlanta vs Quebec City+0.5-1.0
+6.0-11.2
+0.4-0.8
Atlanta vs Charlotte+0.5-1.0
+6.2-11.5
+0.4-0.8
Atlanta vs Cincinnati+0.4-0.9
+4.2-10.4
+0.3-0.8
Atlanta vs Spokane+0.4-0.8
+4.7-10.6
+0.3-0.8
Atlanta vs Oakland+0.4-0.8
+4.6-10.3
+0.3-0.8
Atlanta vs Tulsa+0.4-0.8
+4.6-10.4
+0.3-0.8
Atlanta vs Las Vegas+0.3-0.8
+4.3-10.5
+0.3-0.8
Atlanta vs Kansas City+0.4-0.8
+4.6-10.4
+0.3-0.8
Atlanta vs Green Bay+0.4-0.8
+4.7-10.4
+0.3-0.8
Atlanta vs Cleveland+0.4-0.8
+4.7-10.4
+0.3-0.8
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.4-0.8
+6.1-11.4
+0.4-0.8
Atlanta vs Portland+0.4-0.8
+4.6-10.5
+0.3-0.8
Atlanta vs Milwaukee+0.4-0.8
+6.1-11.3
+0.4-0.8
Atlanta vs Seattle+0.4-0.7
+6.1-11.4
+0.4-0.8
Atlanta vs Houston+0.4-0.7
+5.9-11.1
+0.4-0.8
Atlanta vs Utah+0.4-0.7
+6.2-11.6
+0.4-0.8
Atlanta vs Oklahoma City+0.4-0.7
+6.9-11.3
+0.5-0.7
Atlanta vs Indianapolis+0.4-0.7
+7.8-12.8
+0.5-0.8
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+0.1-0.2
-0.6+1.4
Jacksonville vs New Orleans-0.2+0.2
+0.6-0.6
New Orleans vs Hartford+0.1-0.2
-0.3+0.7
Oklahoma City vs Hartford+0.1-0.2
-0.4+0.9
Hartford vs Milwaukee-0.1+0.1
+0.5-0.5
Hartford vs Utah-0.1+0.1
+0.6-0.6
Charlotte vs Indianapolis-0.1+0.1
+0.5-0.7
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.5
Quebec City vs Indianapolis-0.1+0.1
+0.6-0.9
Baltimore vs Indianapolis-0.1+0.1
+0.7-1.0
San Antonio vs Charlotte+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.6
Charlotte vs Memphis-0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.7
Cincinnati vs Charlotte+0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.6
Tulsa vs Charlotte+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.6
Portland vs Charlotte+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.6
Oakland vs Baltimore+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.6
Cleveland vs Charlotte+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.6
Jacksonville vs Charlotte-0.1+0.1
+0.5-0.6
Charlotte vs Hartford-0.3+0.7
Oakland vs Indianapolis+1.1-1.2
Portland vs Indianapolis+1.2-1.1
Tulsa vs Indianapolis+1.1-1.1
Indianapolis vs Spokane-0.7+1.5
Indianapolis vs Cincinnati-0.6+1.5
-0.0+0.1
Indianapolis vs Green Bay-0.6+1.3
Indianapolis vs San Antonio-0.6+1.3
Indianapolis vs Cleveland-0.6+1.3
Indianapolis vs Kansas City-0.6+1.3
Indianapolis vs Las Vegas-0.5+1.3
Houston vs Indianapolis+0.7-1.0
New Orleans vs Indianapolis+0.6-0.9
Cincinnati vs Oklahoma City+0.8-0.7
Cleveland vs Oklahoma City+0.7-0.7
Portland vs Oklahoma City+0.7-0.6
Spokane vs Oklahoma City+0.6-0.7
Kansas City vs Oklahoma City+0.6-0.6
Oklahoma City vs Oakland-0.4+0.9
Green Bay vs Oklahoma City+0.6-0.6
Oklahoma City vs Indianapolis+0.5-0.8
Spokane vs Utah+0.6-0.7
San Antonio vs Oklahoma City+0.6-0.7
Cincinnati vs New Orleans+0.6-0.6
Memphis vs Utah+0.6-0.6
Tulsa vs New Orleans+0.5-0.6
Oklahoma City vs Memphis-0.3+0.8
Green Bay vs Utah+0.5-0.6
Memphis vs Seattle+0.5-0.6
Kansas City vs New Orleans+0.5-0.6
Portland vs New Orleans+0.5-0.6
Las Vegas vs Utah+0.5-0.5
Cleveland vs Milwaukee+0.5-0.6
New Orleans vs Memphis-0.3+0.7
Cincinnati vs Houston+0.5-0.5
Oklahoma City vs Las Vegas-0.3+0.7
San Antonio vs New Orleans+0.4-0.6
Houston vs Memphis-0.3+0.7
Oklahoma City vs Tulsa-0.3+0.7
Kansas City vs Seattle+0.5-0.5
Utah vs Tulsa-0.3+0.7
Spokane vs Seattle+0.5-0.5
Utah vs Cincinnati-0.3+0.7
Kansas City vs Milwaukee+0.5-0.5
Indianapolis vs Milwaukee-0.3+0.6
New Orleans vs Las Vegas-0.3+0.7
Memphis vs Milwaukee+0.5-0.5
Spokane vs Milwaukee+0.4-0.5
Utah vs Kansas City-0.3+0.6
San Antonio vs Houston+0.4-0.6
Seattle vs Oakland-0.3+0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
44-46InYes1005,750*
4219-02In99.9%100024,958
4018-03In99.5100077,789
3817-04In97.59720170,656
3616-05In89.8901000282,443
3415-06In69.46927400367,269
3214-07100.0%35.5364119410000383,980
3013-08100.08.18253322920000327,073
2812-0999.90.4041223272010310000231,070
2611-01098.60.000028162323168310010134,821
2410-01191.2No0002714202116820081065,748
229-01270.5No00015121919123171020026,542
208-01340.9No002716168191993008,916
187-01416.2No03131415252213302,480
166-0155.1No050272330257529
145-016OutNo6173443105
124-017OutNo5455022
103-018OutNo1001
40-021OutNo0100216
Total:98.9%44.9%4518107543221110000100000002,110,368

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs