"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Bye100.0*Average seed
Texas Tech 72 Kansas 74 -0.9
+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Oklahoma vs Kansas StNo+0.5
-0.3Yes
-0.4+0.5
West Virginia vs Iowa St-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Monday100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Bye100.0*Average seed
Kansas vs TexasNo+1.2
+0.2-0.6
TCU vs Kansas StNo+0.9
-0.2Yes
-0.3+0.6
Iowa St vs Oklahoma St+0.1-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Kansas St finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLast
TPW-Lwins titleBye12345678910PlaceCount
243-04.6%Yes57025No7,294,013
222-1NoYes205624No28,023,259
201-2NoYes0197010No31,653,523
180-3No97.0%020473030No10,183,025
Total:0.4%99.6%014314010400No77,153,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship