"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/2100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Conf. Championship100.0*Average seed
Cal Lutheran 57 La Verne 64 +3.0
+9.3
+0.6
If winner is:HomeAway
La Verne vs Cal Tech+3.8-3.8
+9.9-9.9
+0.6-0.6
Cal Lutheran vs Occidental+0.7-0.7
Pomona Pitzer vs Redlands-0.1+0.1
Claremont M.S. vs Chapman+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 1/8100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Conf. Championship100.0*Average seed
La Verne vs Claremont M.S.+4.4-4.4
+10.3-10.3
+0.6-0.6
Redlands vs La Verne-4.2+4.2
-10.3+10.3
-0.6+0.6
Whittier vs Occidental+0.7-0.7
+0.1-0.1
Occidental vs Claremont M.S.-0.4+0.4
+0.1-0.1
Whittier vs Pomona Pitzer+0.3-0.3
+0.2-0.2
Redlands vs Cal Tech-0.2+0.2
-0.2+0.2
Cal Tech vs Cal Lutheran+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the La Verne finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Conf.Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season titleChampionship123456789Count
1514-0100.0%Yes1000779,987
1413-199.8Yes10001,974,041
1312-298.3Yes982012,850,102
1211-390.4Yes9090051,339,858
1110-465.3100.0%6531300141,129,214
109-523.999.9244824400282,177,625
98-61.790.021640329100423,130,342
87-70.030.5005254024500483,557,838
76-8No0.800193339162423,118,912
65-9No0.0004254824282,162,870
54-10NoNo0033166141,125,195
43-11NoNo0099151,346,006
32-12NoNo019912,842,799
21-13NoNo01001,979,235
10-14NoNo100779,840
Total:9.9%44.2%1011121212121111102,310,293,864
Games Above .500
RPI