SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Harvard Basketball 2015-2016 50/50

Lost to Cornell 65-77, regular season title odds down 5.2 to 5.1%

1-2 1-2 .333

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday, 1/29	100.0*	Chance wins regular season title	100.0*	Average seed
Harvard 65 Cornell 77	-4.3		-0.6
Yale 81 Penn 58	-0.6
Brown 59 Princeton 83	-0.5
Dartmouth 60 Columbia 77	-0.3

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday, 1/30	100.0*	Chance wins regular season title	100.0*	Average seed
Harvard vs Columbia	+3.1-3.1		+0.5-0.5
Yale vs Princeton	-0.2+0.2
Brown vs Penn	+0.1-0.1
Dartmouth vs Cornell	-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Harvard finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	Chance wins regular season title		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

12		11	-	0	99.7	%	100	0							311,770
11		10	-	1	94.7		95	5	0						2,089,870
10		9	-	2	71.8		72	26	2	0					10,436,095
9		8	-	3	28.0		28	50	20	2	0				31,287,850
8		7	-	4	2.3		2	22	45	27	4	0	0		62,566,944
7		6	-	5	0.0		0	1	11	38	38	12	1	0	87,560,918
6		5	-	6	No			0	0	4	26	45	22	2	87,550,267
5		4	-	7	No				0	0	2	21	51	26	62,533,309
4		3	-	8	No						0	2	30	68	31,287,348
3		2	-	9	No							0	7	92	10,438,015
2		1	-	10	No							0	1	99	2,089,565
1		0	-	11	No								0	100	310,657

Total:					5.1	%	5	8	11	14	16	16	16	13	388,462,608

Games Above .500

RPI