"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday, 1/29100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Dartmouth 60 Columbia 77 +9.9
+0.5
Yale 81 Penn 58 -2.0
Brown 59 Princeton 83 -1.3
Harvard 65 Cornell 77 +0.4
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday, 1/30100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Harvard vs Columbia-10.4+6.7
-0.3+0.2
Yale vs Princeton-1.3+2.2
Dartmouth vs Cornell+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title12345678Count
1411-0Yes1005,519,762
1310-199.6%100038,448,090
129-293.49370126,167,795
118-370.3702910240,799,642
107-433.43355110297,701,504
96-57.274842200250,734,835
85-60.3016612210147,094,274
74-70.00127492020060,163,372
63-8No022145284016,837,473
52-9No0011424073,075,959
41-10No074548328,845
30-11No0991385,073
Total:37.8%383321621001,187,256,624
Games Above .500
RPI