"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/2100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Conf. Championship100.0*Average seed
Cal Lutheran 57 La Verne 64 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Claremont M.S. vs Chapman+4.3-6.8
+8.3-13.1
+0.5-0.7
Cal Lutheran vs Occidental+0.7-0.8
+0.1-0.2
La Verne vs Cal Tech-0.3+0.6
-0.4+0.9
Pomona Pitzer vs Redlands-0.3+0.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 1/8100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Conf. Championship100.0*Average seed
Occidental vs Claremont M.S.-4.7+8.2
-7.7+13.3
-0.4+0.8
La Verne vs Claremont M.S.-4.3+7.2
-7.9+13.4
-0.4+0.7
Whittier vs Pomona Pitzer+1.2-1.0
+0.6-0.5
Whittier vs Occidental+0.8-0.9
+0.5-0.6
Redlands vs Cal Tech-0.3+0.7
-0.4+0.9
Pomona Pitzer vs Chapman-0.1+0.3
-0.0+0.1
Cal Tech vs Cal Lutheran+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.7
Redlands vs La Verne+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Claremont M.S. finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Conf.Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season titleChampionship123456789Count
1615-0YesYes1002,087,888
1514-1100.0%Yes10002,767,350
1413-299.7Yes1000021,103,039
1312-397.4Yes973097,566,837
1211-486.1Yes861400305,787,548
1110-555.3100.0%5539600687,947,927
109-616.399.616453270001,147,068,230
98-70.984.61113538141001,442,990,518
87-80.024.10032141296001,380,725,156
76-9No0.6001934411411,004,920,614
65-10No0.0005304817551,876,686
54-11NoNo0053956224,701,317
43-12NoNo00148665,658,724
32-13NoNo039713,010,752
21-14NoNo01001,565,682
10-15NoNo1002,007,328
Total:13.9%55.0%14141413121110746,951,785,596
Games Above .500
RPI