How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/2100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Conf. Championship100.0*Average seed
Cal Lutheran 57 La Verne 64 +0.3
+0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Claremont M.S. vs Chapman-6.1+6.1
-10.7+10.7
-0.6+0.6
Cal Lutheran vs Occidental+0.4-0.4
-0.2+0.2
La Verne vs Cal Tech-0.3+0.3
-0.2+0.2
Pomona Pitzer vs Redlands-0.3+0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 1/8100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Conf. Championship100.0*Average seed
Pomona Pitzer vs Chapman-6.1+6.1
-10.8+10.8
-0.6+0.6
Whittier vs Occidental+0.7-0.7
+0.2-0.2
Whittier vs Pomona Pitzer+0.5-0.5
+0.3-0.3
Cal Tech vs Cal Lutheran+0.3-0.3
+0.3-0.3
Redlands vs Cal Tech-0.2+0.2
-0.2+0.2
Occidental vs Claremont M.S.-0.2+0.2
La Verne vs Claremont M.S.+0.2-0.2
Redlands vs La Verne+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Chapman finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Conf.Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season titleChampionship123456789Count
1513-0YesYes100921,174
1412-199.9%Yes10003,671,778
1311-299.0Yes991022,018,919
1210-392.3Yes9280080,645,917
119-468.2100.0%6829300201,566,413
108-525.999.92648233000362,727,535
97-61.990.521740329100483,594,825
86-70.030.4005254025500483,557,844
75-8No0.70193240172362,768,296
64-9No0.0004244825201,553,793
53-10NoNo003316680,664,132
42-11NoNo0099122,010,697
31-12NoNo01993,671,581
20-13NoNo0100920,960
Total:14.8%54.5%15141312121110862,310,293,864
Games Above .500
RPI