Memorial Sea-Hawks Basketball 2011 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.03 to 0.06%
1-13 .071
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Acadia 108 Cape Breton 65 | -0.7 | |||
| Week of 1/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Memorial 76 Dalhousie 89 | -11.3 | -0.4 | ||
| Memorial 82 Dalhousie 92 | -9.9 | -0.4 | ||
| StFX 87 UNB 68 | +1.8 | +0.1 | ||
| St. Mary’s 93 UPEI 86 | -1.8 | -0.0 | ||
| St. Mary’s 91 UPEI 83 | -1.6 | |||
| StFX 92 UNB 59 | +1.3 | |||
| Cape Breton 101 StFX 88 | -0.9 | |||
| Acadia 61 St. Mary’s 70 | *-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Memorial finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 7 | 6 | - | 0 | 4.0 | % | 4 | 44 | 52 | 108,852 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 7 | 93 | 648,263 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | -5 | Out | 100 | 6,171,012 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.1 | % | 0 | 1 | 99 | 6,928,127 | ||||||||||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 1/4 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Acadia 108 Cape Breton 65 | +0.1 | |
| Week of 1/6 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Memorial 76 Dalhousie 89 | +2.8 | |
| Memorial 82 Dalhousie 92 | +2.5 | |
| StFX 87 UNB 68 | -0.3 | |
| St. Mary’s 93 UPEI 86 | +0.3 | |
| St. Mary’s 91 UPEI 83 | +0.3 | |
| StFX 92 UNB 59 | -0.2 | |
| Cape Breton 101 StFX 88 | +0.2 | |
| Trinity Western 105 Lethbridge 97 | +0.1 | |
| Brandon 70 Winnipeg 56 | -0.0 | |
| McGill 70 Bishop’s 67 | -0.0 | |
| Western 66 Guelph 82 | -0.0 | |
| Brandon 74 Regina 83 | +0.0 | |
| Laurentian 95 York 75 | -0.0 | |
| Laurentian 51 Carleton 98 | -0.0 | |
| Windsor 70 Guelph 59 | *-0.0 | |
| Windsor 82 Waterloo 72 | -0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | |
| 7 | 6 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 40 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 40 | 26 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 2 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 47 | 12 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 3 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 43 | 17 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 4 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 43 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 5 | 0 | 5 | 66 | 29 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 6 | 31 | 69 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:53 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
