"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lynchburg 0 Frederick 1 +1.2
Lynchburg 3 Frederick 5 +1.2
Winston-Salem 5 Wilmington 3 -0.7
-0.1
Winston-Salem 11 Wilmington 3 -0.7
-0.1
Carolina 5 Myrtle Beach 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Winston-Salem vs Wilmington-0.8+1.8
-0.1+0.3
Lynchburg vs Frederick-0.7+1.2
+0.0-0.1
Lynchburg vs Frederick-0.7+1.1
+0.0-0.1
Potomac vs Salem-0.1+0.1
Potomac vs Salem-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Wilmington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678Count
379-078.5%178413513,151
368-155.75601825161,069
357-231.2310946140401,822
346-312.51314046001,574,637
335-42.8301874503,983,693
324-50.3004742016,701,877
313-6Out1504187,475,892
302-7Out02151295,342,542
291-8Out435612,222,262
280-9Out01387419,227
Total:1.8%0200748291428,196,172
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs