SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Potomac Nationals "Nationals" Playoff Chances 2012 50/50

Beat Salem 5-4, Beat Salem 4-2, playoff odds up 9 to 11.1%

28-32 .467

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Potomac 5 Salem 4	+1.1		+0.2
Potomac 4 Salem 2	+1.1		+0.2
Lynchburg 3 Frederick 5	+0.8
Lynchburg 0 Frederick 1	+0.8
Winston-Salem 11 Wilmington 3	+0.3		+0.1
Winston-Salem 5 Wilmington 3	+0.3		+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Potomac vs Salem	+4.5-4.5		+0.4-0.4
Potomac vs Salem	+4.5-4.5		+0.4-0.4
Lynchburg vs Frederick	-3.6+3.6		-0.1+0.1
Lynchburg vs Frederick	-3.6+3.6		-0.1+0.1
Winston-Salem vs Wilmington	+0.9-0.9		+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Potomac finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

38		10	-	0	94.6	%	8	87	4	1					32,033
37		9	-	1	82.5		0	82	7	10	0				241,903
36		8	-	2	61.0			61	4	32	4	0	0		1,084,062
35		7	-	3	34.2			34	0	33	28	4	0		2,884,492
34		6	-	4	12.8			13	0	11	41	29	6	0	5,041,194
33		5	-	5	3.2			3		1	16	47	33	1	6,046,861
32		4	-	6	0.3			0		0	2	25	62	11	5,039,052
31		3	-	7	Out						0	6	60	34	2,887,781
30		2	-	8	Out						0	1	38	61	1,083,454
29		1	-	9	Out							0	18	82	242,081
28		0	-	10	Out								6	94	32,237

Total:					11.1	%	0	11	0	8	16	24	31	10	24,615,150

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Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)