SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Lynchburg Hillcats "Braves" Playoff Chances 2012 50/50

Lost to Frederick 3-5, Lost to Frederick 0-1, playoff odds down 8.3 to 78%

30-30 .500

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Lynchburg 3 Frederick 5	-5.4		-0.2
Lynchburg 0 Frederick 1	-5.4		-0.2
Winston-Salem 5 Wilmington 3	+3.2		+0.1
Winston-Salem 11 Wilmington 3	+3.2		+0.1
Potomac 5 Salem 4	-0.8
Potomac 4 Salem 2	-0.8

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Lynchburg vs Frederick	+8.7-8.7		+0.4-0.4
Lynchburg vs Frederick	+8.7-8.7		+0.4-0.4
Potomac vs Salem	-3.2+3.2		-0.1+0.1
Potomac vs Salem	-3.1+3.1		-0.1+0.1
Winston-Salem vs Wilmington	+1.8-1.8		+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Lynchburg finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

40		10	-	0	In		21	79							32,484
39		9	-	1	In		6	94							243,122
38		8	-	2	In		1	99							1,082,868
37		7	-	3	99.9	%	0	100	0	0	0				2,884,244
36		6	-	4	98.7			99	0	1	0	0			5,043,167
35		5	-	5	92.6			93	0	4	3	0	0		6,050,321
34		4	-	6	71.2			71	0	3	15	10	1	0	5,039,109
33		3	-	7	26.7			27		0	10	39	20	5	2,879,707
32		2	-	8	1.1			1		0	0	21	46	31	1,084,184
31		1	-	9	Out						0	5	34	61	242,849
30		0	-	10	Out							0	13	86	33,095

Total:					78.0	%	0	78	0	2	5	8	5	3	24,615,150

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs