| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| AFL | |
| 28 | Kangaroos |
| 24 | Cats |
| 24 | Swans |
| 20 | Giants |
| 20 | Bulldogs |
| 20 | Hawks |
| 16 | Eagles |
| 16 | Crows |
| 16 | Demons |
| 16 | Power |
| 12 | Suns |
| 12 | Blues |
| 8 | Saints |
| 8 | Magpies |
| 4 | Lions |
| 4 | Bombers |
| 4 | Tigers |
| 0 | Dockers |
| Australia | |
| AFL | |
| USA | |
| Australia | |
| Canada | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Friends | |
Richmond Tigers Playoff Chances 2016
Plays Magpies 7:50 PM, playoff odds down 0.02 to 0.2%
4 points 1-0-6
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tigers 90 Hawks 136 | -0.5 | -0.0 | -0.3 | |||
| Power 136 Lions 59 | +0.0 | |||||
| Dockers 77 Giants 95 | +0.0 | |||||
| Swans 135 Bombers 54 | +0.0 | |||||
| Saints 75 Kangaroos 82 | +0.0 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Tigers vs Magpies | +0.2-0.0-0.1 | +0.6+0.0-0.4 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tigers vs Swans | +0.3*+0.0-0.1 | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | +0.7+0.2-0.2 | |||
| Bombers vs Tigers | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | -0.5-0.0+0.5 | ||||
| Dockers vs Tigers | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | -0.5-0.1+0.4 | ||||
| Demons vs Lions | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Hawks vs Dockers | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Lions vs Hawks | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | |||||
| Eagles vs Saints | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Magpies vs Bulldogs | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | |||||
| Bombers vs Kangaroos | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||||
| Magpies vs Cats | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Tigers finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Top 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | ||||
| 64 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 27 | 57 | 16 | 1 | 1,505 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 82.4 | % | 12 | 29 | 41 | 18 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 81.8 | 9 | 27 | 45 | 18 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 43.3 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 30 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 201 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 54 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.0 | % | 14.0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 207 | * | ||||||||||||
| 52 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 95.7 | 3.3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 29 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1,795 | * | ||||||||||||
| 50 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 81.5 | 0.1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1,764 | * | |||||||||||||
| 48 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 52.2 | No | 1 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 12,054 | * | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 22.6 | No | 1 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 10,468 | * | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 7.4 | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 52,927 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 7.4 | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 37 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 4,170 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 42 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 1.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 42,937 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.8 | No | 1 | 8 | 25 | 38 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1,015 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 40 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 35 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 183,667 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 15,519 | * | |||||||||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 131,885 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 3,332 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 40 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 481,654 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 40 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 42,290 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 34 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 302,449 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 7,523 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 41 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 955,811 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 83,224 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 517,400 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | No | 1 | 10 | 35 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 12,877 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 28 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 1,441,208 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 118,914 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 1,230 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 658,415 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 33 | 42 | 16 | 1 | 15,038 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 44 | 29 | 3 | 1,637,280 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 19 | 45 | 30 | 4 | 123,810 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 19 | 43 | 32 | 4 | 1,099 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 46 | 10 | 611,328 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 35 | 46 | 11 | 12,499 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 53 | 21 | 1,371,608 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 22 | 54 | 21 | 91,589 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 53 | 37 | 404,711 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 6,425 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 53 | 823,048 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 41 | 55 | 44,400 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 29 | 70 | 179,047 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 11 | Out | No | 1 | 29 | 70 | 2,254 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 18 | 82 | 333,158 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 16 | 84 | 12,680 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 9 | 91 | 48,056 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 81,364 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 13 | Out | No | 3 | 97 | 1,724 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 5,793 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 10,800 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.2 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 21 | 23 | 15 | 10,904,180 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
