| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| AFL | |
| 28 | Kangaroos |
| 24 | Cats |
| 24 | Swans |
| 20 | Giants |
| 20 | Bulldogs |
| 20 | Hawks |
| 16 | Eagles |
| 16 | Crows |
| 16 | Demons |
| 16 | Power |
| 12 | Suns |
| 12 | Blues |
| 8 | Saints |
| 8 | Magpies |
| 4 | Lions |
| 4 | Bombers |
| 4 | Tigers |
| 0 | Dockers |
| Australia | |
| AFL | |
| USA | |
| Australia | |
| Canada | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Friends | |
St. Kilda Saints Playoff Chances 2016
Lost to Kangaroos 75-82, playoff odds down 4.7 to 3.7%
8 points 2-0-5
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Saints 75 Kangaroos 82 | -2.2 | -0.2 | -0.3 | |||
| Power 136 Lions 59 | -0.3 | |||||
| Tigers 90 Hawks 136 | -0.2 | |||||
| Cats 123 Eagles 79 | +0.2 | |||||
| Dockers 77 Giants 95 | -0.2 | |||||
| Swans 135 Bombers 54 | -0.1 | +0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Eagles vs Saints | -1.8-0.1+3.0 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | -0.4+0.1+0.7 | |||
| Saints vs Bombers | +1.6-0.7-2.0 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | +0.5-0.1-0.7 | |||
| Saints vs Dockers | +1.2-0.9-2.1 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | +0.4-0.2-0.7 | |||
| Demons vs Lions | -0.2*+0.0+0.4 | |||||
| Crows vs Cats | -0.3*-0.1+0.2 | |||||
| Hawks vs Dockers | -0.1+0.1+0.3 | |||||
| Lions vs Hawks | +0.3*+0.0-0.1 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||||
| Crows vs Giants | -0.2-0.1+0.1 | |||||
| Blues vs Power | +0.2*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Magpies vs Bulldogs | +0.2*+0.0-0.1 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||||
| Kangaroos vs Blues | +0.1*-0.1-0.2 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Suns vs Crows | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Eagles vs Suns | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Blues vs Cats | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||||
| Demons vs Bulldogs | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||||
| Hawks vs Swans | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |||||
| Tigers vs Swans | +0.1*+0.1-0.0 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||||
| Giants vs Suns | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Giants vs Bulldogs | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |||||
| Swans vs Kangaroos | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |||||
| Magpies vs Cats | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | |||||
| Bombers vs Kangaroos | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Saints finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Top 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | ||||
| 68 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 55 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 1,516 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 50 | 50 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 98.8 | % | 13 | 33 | 37 | 16 | 1 | 241 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 62 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 94.2 | 3 | 22 | 45 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 226 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 60 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 79.8 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2,654 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 58 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 54.8 | 2 | 17 | 36 | 31 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2,205 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 56 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 99.9 | % | 27.8 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 17,613 | * | ||||||||||||
| 54 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.4 | 8.7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 36 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13,274 | * | ||||||||||||
| 52 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 94.9 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 76,119 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 95.1 | 2.4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 4,769 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 50 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 80.9 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 55,024 | * | |||||||||||
| 48 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 54.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 244,993 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 54.9 | No | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 17,466 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 46 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 23.9 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 157,339 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 23.3 | No | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 3,429 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 44 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 8.4 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 587,812 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 8.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 45,610 | * | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 1.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 336,610 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 1.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 7,628 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 40 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,067,891 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 85,443 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 38 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 534,952 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 42 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 12,339 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 36 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,475,416 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 116,514 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1,158 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 34 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 638,084 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14,489 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,548,783 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 117,569 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 7 | Out | No | 1 | 7 | 35 | 41 | 15 | 2 | 1,172 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 567,543 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 12,104 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1,229,409 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 40 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 86,290 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 371,479 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 7,060 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 42 | 22 | 2 | 724,431 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 27 | 43 | 22 | 3 | 44,967 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 40 | 8 | 172,920 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 42 | 7 | 2,615 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 49 | 18 | 306,363 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 27 | 49 | 20 | 15,290 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 51 | 36 | 54,922 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 42 | 53 | 87,618 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 40 | 55 | 3,136 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | No | 1 | 27 | 72 | 10,376 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | No | 0 | 16 | 83 | 15,674 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | Out | No | 7 | 93 | 867 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | 2,772 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 3.7 | % | 0.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 10,904,180 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
