| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| AFL | |
| 28 | Kangaroos |
| 24 | Cats |
| 24 | Swans |
| 20 | Giants |
| 20 | Bulldogs |
| 20 | Hawks |
| 16 | Eagles |
| 16 | Crows |
| 16 | Demons |
| 16 | Power |
| 12 | Suns |
| 12 | Blues |
| 8 | Saints |
| 8 | Magpies |
| 4 | Lions |
| 4 | Bombers |
| 4 | Tigers |
| 0 | Dockers |
| Australia | |
| AFL | |
| USA | |
| Australia | |
| Canada | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Friends | |
Geelong Cats Playoff Chances 2016
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.08 to 98.3%
24 points 6-0-1
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cats 123 Eagles 79 | +2.3 | +8.2 | +0.5 | |||
| Tigers 90 Hawks 136 | -0.1 | -0.6 | -0.0 | |||
| Dockers 77 Giants 95 | -0.1 | -0.5 | -0.0 | |||
| Power 136 Lions 59 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| Swans 135 Bombers 54 | -0.6 | -0.0 | ||||
| Saints 75 Kangaroos 82 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||||
| Suns 87 Demons 160 | +0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Magpies vs Cats | -1.8-0.3+0.7 | -10.8-3.1+3.9 | -0.7-0.2+0.2 | |||
| Blues vs Cats | -1.7-0.1+0.8 | -10.0-2.1+4.6 | -0.6-0.1+0.3 | |||
| Crows vs Cats | -1.6*+0.1+0.9 | -9.6-1.1+5.7 | -0.6-0.1+0.4 | |||
| Demons vs Lions | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | -0.3*+0.2+0.6 | ||||
| Eagles vs Saints | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | -0.4*+0.2+0.6 | ||||
| Hawks vs Dockers | -0.0*+0.0+0.2 | -0.4+0.5+1.5 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Kangaroos vs Blues | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | -0.1*+0.1+0.4 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Lions vs Hawks | +0.1*+0.0-0.0 | +1.5+0.5-0.5 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||
| Demons vs Bulldogs | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | +0.7+0.3-0.6 | ||||
| Crows vs Giants | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | +0.7*+0.1-0.5 | ||||
| Hawks vs Swans | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | -0.2*-0.2+0.2 | ||||
| Blues vs Power | +0.1+0.1-0.0 | +0.3*+0.1-0.3 | ||||
| Eagles vs Suns | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | -0.3*+0.1+0.4 | ||||
| Magpies vs Bulldogs | +0.1*+0.0-0.0 | +1.5+0.5-0.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||
| Suns vs Crows | +0.5*+0.2-0.4 | |||||
| Tigers vs Swans | +0.1*+0.0-0.0 | +1.4+0.5-0.4 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||
| Giants vs Suns | -0.8+0.3+1.2 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Swans vs Kangaroos | -0.6-0.2+0.5 | |||||
| Bombers vs Kangaroos | +0.6*+0.1-0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | ||||
| Power vs Eagles | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | |||||
| Demons vs Power | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Cats finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Top 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | ||||
| 84 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 12,543 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 82 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 6,980 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 80 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | 94,837 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 2,025 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 94 | 6 | 54,624 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 89 | 11 | 0 | 370,381 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 89 | 10 | 0 | 14,407 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 78 | 21 | 0 | 196,350 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 81 | 19 | 0 | 2,357 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 66 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 877,725 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 67 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 48,426 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 49 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 426,371 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 51 | 44 | 4 | 0 | 7,119 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 100.0 | % | 34 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1,411,103 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 100.0 | 34 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 95,256 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | 99.9 | 17 | 56 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 623,695 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | 100.0 | 19 | 57 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 12,781 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 5 | In | 99.3 | 8 | 45 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,633,358 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | 99.4 | 9 | 46 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 125,025 | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | In | 99.7 | 7 | 45 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 1,170 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 5 | In | 96.3 | 2 | 27 | 46 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 649,066 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | In | 96.5 | 3 | 29 | 44 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 15,069 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 6 | In | 86.2 | 1 | 13 | 38 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,399,432 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | In | 87.0 | 1 | 14 | 39 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 116,205 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | In | 87.8 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 33 | 10 | 2 | 1,167 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | In | 64.8 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 499,380 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | In | 65.5 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12,366 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 56 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 100.0 | % | 39.1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 907,014 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 100.0 | 40.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 79,619 | * | |||||||||||||
| 54 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 99.8 | 14.1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 285,359 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 99.8 | 14.1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 7,389 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 52 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 97.5 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 448,124 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 97.7 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 39,830 | * | ||||||||||||
| 50 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 88.3 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 35 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 122,660 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 88.8 | 0.3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 37 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3,071 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 48 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 67.5 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 169,291 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 67.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14,451 | * | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 34.8 | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 37 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 39,458 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 36.9 | No | 1 | 9 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 947 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 44 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 10 | 14.7 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 48,450 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 15.3 | No | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 3,913 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 42 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | 2.7 | No | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 9,422 | * | |||||||||||||
| 40 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 11 | 0.6 | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 10,807 | * | |||||||||||||
| 38 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | No | 1 | 7 | 28 | 39 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 1,626 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 36 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1,654 | * | |||||||||||||
| 34 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | No | 1 | 4 | 19 | 39 | 31 | 6 | 174 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 32 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | No | 1 | 11 | 28 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 176 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 30 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | No | 9 | 27 | 36 | 27 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | No | 50 | 20 | 10 | 20 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 28 | 51 | 16 | 1,506 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 98.3 | % | 80.1 | % | 21 | 27 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10,904,180 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
