Holy capitalism Batman, we’re in the Wall Street Journal |
| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| AFL | |
| 28 | Kangaroos |
| 24 | Cats |
| 24 | Swans |
| 20 | Giants |
| 20 | Bulldogs |
| 20 | Hawks |
| 16 | Eagles |
| 16 | Crows |
| 16 | Demons |
| 16 | Power |
| 12 | Suns |
| 12 | Blues |
| 8 | Saints |
| 8 | Magpies |
| 4 | Lions |
| 4 | Bombers |
| 4 | Tigers |
| 0 | Dockers |
| Australia | |
| AFL | |
| USA | |
| Australia | |
| Canada | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Friends | |
Western Bulldogs Playoff Chances 2016
Did not play, playoff odds down 1.2 to 85.6%
20 points 5-0-2
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bulldogs 123 Crows 108 | +8.6 | +8.6 | +0.8 | |||
| Cats 123 Eagles 79 | +0.5 | -0.1 | ||||
| Tigers 90 Hawks 136 | -0.5 | -0.6 | -0.0 | |||
| Power 136 Lions 59 | -0.5 | -0.2 | ||||
| Dockers 77 Giants 95 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -0.0 | |||
| Saints 75 Kangaroos 82 | +0.2 | -0.5 | ||||
| Swans 135 Bombers 54 | -0.1 | -0.6 | -0.0 | |||
| Suns 87 Demons 160 | +0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Tigers vs Magpies | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Demons vs Bulldogs | -7.3*-0.1+5.6 | -11.0-1.9+8.6 | -0.8-0.1+0.6 | |||
| Magpies vs Bulldogs | -8.2-1.5+3.9 | -12.1-3.8+5.7 | -0.9-0.2+0.4 | |||
| Giants vs Bulldogs | -5.8+0.6+5.8 | -11.0-0.7+11.0 | -0.7-0.0+0.7 | |||
| Demons vs Lions | -0.5+0.4+1.0 | -0.3+0.3+0.7 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Crows vs Cats | -0.9*-0.2+0.5 | +0.6*+0.1-0.3 | ||||
| Eagles vs Saints | -0.5*+0.1+0.7 | -0.5+0.5+0.8 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Hawks vs Dockers | -0.2+0.3+0.8 | -0.6+0.8+2.3 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Lions vs Hawks | +0.7*+0.1-0.3 | +2.2+0.5-0.8 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||
| Kangaroos vs Blues | +0.2-0.2-0.7 | -0.2*-0.0+0.7 | ||||
| Crows vs Giants | -0.5*-0.1+0.4 | +1.1+0.5-0.9 | ||||
| Blues vs Cats | -0.6*-0.1+0.3 | +1.5*+0.2-0.7 | ||||
| Blues vs Power | +0.4*+0.0-0.3 | +0.5+0.3-0.4 | ||||
| Hawks vs Swans | -0.4*-0.1+0.3 | -0.2-0.4+0.2 | ||||
| Suns vs Crows | +0.2*+0.2-0.2 | +0.6*+0.2-0.4 | ||||
| Eagles vs Suns | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | -0.5+0.3+0.6 | ||||
| Giants vs Suns | +0.1-0.2-0.2 | -1.1+0.5+1.9 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Saints vs Dockers | -0.1*+0.1+0.2 | |||||
| Saints vs Bombers | -0.1*+0.1+0.2 | |||||
| Tigers vs Swans | +0.2*+0.0-0.1 | +2.3+0.6-0.6 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||
| Swans vs Kangaroos | -0.1*-0.2+0.1 | -0.9-0.4+0.7 | ||||
| Lions vs Magpies | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Magpies vs Cats | +1.8+0.4-0.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | ||||
| Bombers vs Kangaroos | +1.0+0.3-0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | ||||
| Power vs Eagles | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Bulldogs finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Top 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | ||||
| 80 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 3,192 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 96 | 4 | 1,219 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 91 | 9 | 0 | 20,593 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 81 | 19 | 0 | 13,145 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 67 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 110,266 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 68 | 30 | 1 | 4,001 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 49 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 66,987 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 100.0 | % | 31 | 52 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 364,868 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100.0 | 33 | 51 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 18,416 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 99.8 | 15 | 50 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 201,950 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 99.9 | 15 | 51 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 3,147 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 98.3 | 6 | 36 | 42 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 819,222 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 98.5 | 7 | 37 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 51,033 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | 93.1 | 1 | 19 | 43 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 409,947 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | 93.0 | 1 | 19 | 44 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7,686 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 60 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 5 | In | 78.4 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1,320,278 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | 79.2 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 93,718 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 58 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 100.0 | % | 54.3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 594,846 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | In | 55.3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 37 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 12,685 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 56 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 100.0 | 29.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,573,473 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 100.0 | 29.9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 120,246 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | In | 31.0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 38 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 1,154 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 54 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 99.7 | 9.8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 634,852 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 99.8 | 10.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14,315 | * | |||||||||||||
| 52 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 97.4 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,422,620 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 97.6 | 2.7 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 113,225 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 97.1 | 2.8 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 35 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1,135 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 50 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 88.6 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 502,623 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 88.8 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 37 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 11,821 | * | |||||||||||||
| 48 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 68.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 973,000 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 68.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 79,026 | * | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 37.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 299,332 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 38.2 | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 6,915 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 44 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 16.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 507,663 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 16.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 39,935 | * | |||||||||||||
| 42 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 3.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 133,226 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 2.8 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2,917 | * | |||||||||||||
| 40 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 10 | 0.7 | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 38 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 199,833 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 0.7 | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14,696 | * | |||||||||||||
| 38 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 44,568 | * | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 11 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 58,262 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 33 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3,789 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 34 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 21 | 40 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 10,205 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 39 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 12,967 | * | |||||||||||||
| 30 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | No | 1 | 16 | 37 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 1,588 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 28 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 25 | 42 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1,759 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 26 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | No | 1 | 7 | 32 | 44 | 14 | 2 | 154 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 24 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | No | 1 | 22 | 42 | 29 | 6 | 165 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | Out | No | 80 | 20 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | Out | No | 0 | 9 | 49 | 42 | 1,512 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 85.6 | % | 37.6 | % | 3 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10,904,180 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
