"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Melbourne 96 St Kilda 72 -16.7
No
-0.9
Bulldogs 57 GWS 105 +2.8
+0.1
Essendon 80 Adelaide 123 +2.2
+0.1
West Coast 100 Carlton 83 -0.9
-0.1
Sydney 143 Fremantle 39 -0.2
-0.0
Port Adelaide 98 Collingwood 71 -0.1
+0.0
Hawthorn 116 North Melbourne 89 -0.1
-0.1
Week of 8/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
St Kilda 127 North Melbourne 78 +2.7
+0.4
Gold Coast 57 Essendon 90 -1.6
-0.1
Bulldogs 79 Port Adelaide 96 +1.0
+0.1
GWS 81 West Coast 60 +0.9
+0.0
Melbourne 104 Brisbane 91 -0.6
-0.0
Carlton 77 Hawthorn 70 +0.2
+0.3
Collingwood 59 Geelong 70 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Richmond vs St Kilda-4.8-0.7+15.6
-0.3+0.5+1.1
Essendon vs Fremantle-1.5+10.4+10.9
-0.0+0.2+0.2
West Coast vs Adelaide-2.4+1.1+1.2
-0.2-0.0+0.1
Collingwood vs Melbourne+1.4-1.7-1.7
Hawthorn vs Bulldogs+0.4+0.4-0.5
+0.3-0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the St Kilda finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-L-TplayoffsTop 4123456789101112131415161718SpoonCount
481-0-020.5%No41649273No1,018,935,631
460-0-14.1No4384514No21,870,418
440-1-00.1No053957No3,335,315,131
Total:4.8%No14153644No4,376,121,180
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs