"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Richmond 88 Melbourne 75 -8.0
-4.3
+0.3
-0.7
Hawthorn 125 West Coast 75 +0.8
+0.5
+0.1
St Kilda 88 Geelong 126 +0.7
-0.4
Gold Coast 86 Adelaide 153 +0.7
-0.3
Essendon 100 Collingwood 82 -0.4
-0.1
Bulldogs 122 Brisbane 90 -0.3
-0.2
Sydney 63 GWS 105 -0.3
-0.5
-0.0
Port Adelaide 137 Carlton 47 -0.3
-0.2
Fremantle 67 North Melbourne 62 -0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Essendon vs Melbourne-7.4+1.7+12.9
-2.4-0.1+4.2
+0.3-0.2-0.6
-0.6+0.2+1.1
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast+0.5-0.1-0.8
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Hawthorn vs St Kilda+0.7+0.1-0.5
+0.1*+0.0-0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.0
GWS vs Bulldogs+0.3-0.6-0.6
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Brisbane vs Port Adelaide+0.5+0.1-0.4
+0.5+0.1-0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Geelong vs Collingwood+0.2-0.2-0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
West Coast vs Fremantle-0.1-0.3+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Adelaide vs Richmond+0.0-0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.2-0.0
Carlton vs Sydney+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Melbourne finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-L-TplayoffsTop 4123456789101112131415161718SpoonCount
7617-0-0InYes9820No383,862
7416-0-1InYes90100No2,940
7216-1-0InYes811810No312,784*
7015-1-1InYes692830No52,050*
6815-2-0In100.0%53398100No2,708,378*
6614-2-1In99.9354717200No418,288*
6414-3-0In99.42043297100No14,306,727
13-2-2In99.4204429710No30,311*
6213-3-1In97.48334017200No2,046,427*
6013-4-0In89.432038299100No51,708,854
12-3-2In89.93203829910No134,860*
5812-4-1100.0%73.3072739225000No6,792,259*
5612-5-0100.049.702143333143000No135,775,734
11-4-2100.050.20214333314200No409,048*
5411-5-1100.022.30031937309100No16,286,363*
5211-6-099.39.1001826362261000No268,399,291
10-5-299.49.100182636226100No890,495*
5010-6-196.21.20001103037184000No29,175,075
9-5-396.31.300110313618300No29,651*
4810-7-083.80.300031633311330000No408,017,115
9-6-284.30.3000316343113200No1,433,479*
469-7-157.90.00004183630112000No39,913,996
8-6-358.70.00041836291010No42,213*
449-8-031.90.00001723342491000No483,276,152
8-7-231.60.000172435248100No1,748,724*
428-8-17.8No001724362471000No42,138,388
7-7-38.0No00172536237100No45,194*
408-9-02.3No00021127322071000No448,724,957
7-8-22.1No0021127332061000No1,626,552*
387-9-10.1No001102735216100No34,444,840
6-8-30.1No0210273521610No36,599*
367-10-00.0No00031328311961000.0%326,753,450
6-9-20.0No0031228321961000.01,153,737*
346-10-10.0No0002112934195000.021,774,148*
326-11-00.0No0000415303116400.3185,648,855
5-10-2OutNo000314303216400.3618,079*
305-11-1OutNo00031534331321.710,505,680*
285-12-0OutNo0001622372877.381,271,667
4-11-2OutNo001521372977.3246,783*
264-12-1OutNo001729432019.83,798,490*
244-13-0OutNo000317443635.826,871,919
3-12-2OutNo00217443736.770,583*
223-13-1OutNo006365858.3997,060*
203-14-0OutNo002257272.16,492,125*
182-14-1OutNo00128787.2178,075*
162-15-0OutNo0079392.51,074,622*
141-15-1OutNo029897.719,717*
121-16-0OutNo019998.8109,436*
100-16-1OutNo010099.81,034
80-17-0OutNo0100100.0372,718
Total:39.9%6.3%01235810111111987543210.9%2,659,269,784

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs