"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Collingwood 62 Port Adelaide 93 -7.0
-1.0
+0.1
-0.8
Sydney 86 Essendon 85 +0.1
Adelaide 82 Hawthorn 96 +0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Bulldogs vs North Melbourne-0.5*-0.1+0.6
West Coast vs Melbourne-0.3-0.5+0.3
Richmond vs Carlton-0.2*-0.2+0.5
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1
St Kilda vs Gold Coast-0.1*-0.1+0.3
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Geelong vs Fremantle*+0.0-0.4-0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.2-0.1
Brisbane vs GWS+0.5+0.2-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Hawthorn vs Collingwood-5.7-3.6+2.9
-0.2-0.2+0.1
+0.7+0.1-0.3
-1.2-0.6+0.6
Essendon vs Brisbane-0.2+0.5+1.2
-0.1+0.3+0.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Bulldogs vs West Coast+0.1-0.6-0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Fremantle vs St Kilda+0.3-0.3-0.3
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Melbourne vs Sydney+0.2*-0.3-0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.1
Port Adelaide vs Richmond+0.1*-0.3-0.3
Carlton vs Adelaide-0.1*-0.1+0.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.0
GWS vs Geelong+0.1*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Collingwood finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-L-TplayoffsTop 4123456789101112131415161718SpoonCount
569-0-0In83.1%11336331420No11,197
548-0-1In46.111134371510No1,032
528-1-099.8%18.800316343114300No119,532
7-0-2In23.322137309No43
507-1-197.92.1021334341420No10,956
6-0-3InNo100No1
487-2-085.00.400519332812300No602,547
6-1-285.40.9131936271310No425
466-2-148.70.00021432341530No46,634
5-1-366.7No671717No6
446-3-025.20.00015193228122000No1,676,497
5-2-223.1No0151831291330No1,582
425-3-11.9No00212323616300No107,752
4-2-3OutNo73341117No27
405-4-00.5No0015193429112000No2,854,256
4-3-20.2No041836291120No2,805
384-4-10.0No00111323616300No150,401
3-3-3OutNo3103835133No40
364-5-00.0No00052035281020No3,121,933
3-4-2OutNo042036291020No3,046
343-5-1OutNo0212343615200.0%128,696
2-4-3OutNo77383117No29
323-6-0OutNo0016243826600.02,193,180
2-5-2OutNo16233926600.11,977
1-4-4OutNo100No1
302-6-1OutNo00321462910.567,213
1-5-3OutNo294329No14
282-7-0OutNo00213424121.7961,313
1-6-2OutNo111454122.0657
261-7-1OutNo01207187.819,575
0-6-3OutNo100No5
241-8-0OutNo0013741212.4238,172
0-7-2OutNo15661918.9111
220-8-1OutNo2712727.12,269
200-9-0OutNo1623737.327,492
Total:9.0%0.3%000011346911131312119600.5%12,351,416
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs