How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Lion Rampant 78 Stretford End * 36 +0.3
+0.2
Bakos Ádám 56 Golden Lion Rap 37 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Golden Lion Rap vs Lion Rampant-0.3+0.3
-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Lion Rampant finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins title123456Count
7317-0-099.3%9916,508
7016-0-195.99642,004
6715-0-280.98119016,305
6414-0-350.450455080,694
6113-0-414.615562810281,190
5812-0-50.502158201729,050
5511-0-6No125571701,456,220
5210-0-7No023355102,285,059
499-0-8No0754392,854,701
468-0-9No0129702,857,805
437-0-10No011892,286,596
406-0-11No03971,456,225
375-0-12No199728,549
344-0-13No0100280,618
313-0-14No010080,617
22-28No10024,599*
Total:0.7%12613275115,426,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship