UFA 00 Gold Title Chances Fall2014 50/50

Did not play, title odds down 0.5 to 1.5%

2 points 0-1-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/6	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA 00 Gold 0 Concorde Fire C 3	-4.0		-4.0		+7.1		-1.1
Augusta Arsenal 0 UFA 00 Red 2	-0.3		-0.3		-0.4
Lady Chiefs Pre 0 SSA Chelsea 00G 1	-0.3		-0.3		-0.2
AFC Lightning 0 0 Lady Chiefs Pre 0	+0.2		+0.2
UFA 00 Red 2 ATHENS UNITED - 0	-0.1		-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
GSA 00 Red vs NASA G18 Premier					+0.4*-0.0-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the UFA 00 Gold finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Promoted		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Relegated		Count

52	10	-	0	-	0	97.5	%	97.5	%	97	3												No		1,962
49	9	-	1	-	0	88.9		88.9		89	11	0											No		3,489
47	9	-	0	-	1	80.4		80.4		80	19	1											No		9,437
46	8	-	2	-	0	72.0		72.0		72	26	2	0										No		6,237
44	8	-	1	-	1	53.0		53.0		53	40	7	0										No		31,865
43	7	-	3	-	0	44.5		44.5		44	46	9	0	0									No		6,243
42	8	-	0	-	2	36.4		36.4		36	48	15	1	0									No		42,025
41	7	-	2	-	1	23.4		23.4		23	49	24	3	0									No		48,495
40	6	-	4	-	0	18.9		18.9		19	49	27	5	0									No		4,192
39	7	-	1	-	2	9.6		9.6		10	38	39	12	1	0								No		127,624
38	6	-	3	-	1	5.5		5.5		5	31	43	18	2	0	0							No		43,211
37	7	-	0	-	3	2.8		2.8		3	22	42	27	6	0	0							No		113,790	*
36	6	-	2	-	2	0.8		0.8		1	11	36	37	13	1	0							No		171,165
35	5	-	4	-	1	0.4		0.4		0	8	32	41	17	2	0							No		24,651
34	6	-	1	-	3	0.1		0.1		0	2	16	38	32	10	1	0	0					No		299,506	*
33	5	-	3	-	2	0.0		0.0		0	1	9	32	39	17	2	0						No		129,936
32	6	-	0	-	4	0.0		0.0		0	0	4	21	39	28	8	1	0					No		195,632
	4	-	5	-	1	No		No			0	6	28	40	21	4	0						No		9,355
31	5	-	2	-	3	No		No			0	1	9	31	38	18	3	0	0				No		341,357	*
30	4	-	4	-	2	No		No				0	5	24	40	25	6	0	0				No		62,237
29	5	-	1	-	4	No		No				0	1	9	29	37	19	4	0	0	0		0.0	%	450,045	*
28	4	-	3	-	3	No		No				0	0	3	19	38	30	9	1	0			No		215,941	*
27	5	-	0	-	5	No		No					0	1	9	28	37	21	5	0	0		0.0		234,832
	3	-	5	-	2	No		No					0	2	13	34	34	15	2	0	0		0.0		18,696
26	4	-	2	-	4	No		No					0	0	3	15	35	33	13	2	0	0	0.1		425,847	*
25	3	-	4	-	3	No		No						0	1	9	29	37	20	4	0	0	0.3		82,296	*
24	4	-	1	-	5	No		No						0	0	2	14	33	34	15	2	0	2.5		446,278
	2	-	6	-	2	No		No							0	4	20	37	28	10	1		1.1		3,620
23	3	-	3	-	4	No		No							0	1	6	24	38	24	6	0	6.1		215,822	*
22	4	-	0	-	6	No		No							0	0	2	14	35	34	13	1	14.3		196,045
	2	-	5	-	3	No		No								0	4	18	37	31	9	1	9.8		18,762
21	3	-	2	-	5	No		No								0	1	6	25	40	24	4	28.4		341,461	*
20	2	-	4	-	4	No		No								0	0	3	18	39	32	8	39.7		61,619	*
19	3	-	1	-	6	No		No									0	1	8	31	43	17	59.8		300,265	*
18	2	-	3	-	5	No		No									0	0	4	23	47	27	73.2		129,516	*
17	3	-	0	-	7	No		No										0	2	15	46	37	83.2		112,293
	1	-	5	-	4	No		No										0	2	18	46	34	80.0		9,475
16	2	-	2	-	6	No		No										0	0	8	40	51	91.3		169,931	*
15	1	-	4	-	5	No		No											0	4	34	61	95.4		24,804
14	2	-	1	-	7	No		No											0	2	25	73	97.9		128,338	*
13	1	-	3	-	6	No		No												1	18	81	99.2		43,170
12	2	-	0	-	8	No		No											0	0	13	87	99.6		43,648	*
11	1	-	2	-	7	No		No												0	8	92	99.9		48,636
10	0	-	4	-	6	No		No													5	95	Yes		4,144
9	1	-	1	-	8	No		No												0	3	97	100.0		31,935
8	0	-	3	-	7	No		No													1	99	Yes		6,331
7	1	-	0	-	9	No		No													1	99	Yes		9,319
6	0	-	2	-	8	No		No													0	100	Yes		6,115
4	0	-	1	-	9	No		No													0	100	Yes		3,556
2	0	-	0	-	10	No		No														100	Yes		1,995

Total:						1.5	%	1.5	%	2	3	5	7	8	9	9	9	9	10	10	10	10	19.3	%	5,457,144

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship