Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

UFA 00 Black Title Chances Fall2014 50/50

Tied Augusta Arsenal 1-1, title odds down 0.6 to 0.6%

2 points 0-1-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/6	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA 00 Black 1 AFC Lightning 0 2	-3.9		-3.9		+7.1		-1.1
Augusta Arsenal 0 UFA 00 Red 2	-0.3		-0.3		-0.4
AFC Lightning 0 0 Lady Chiefs Pre 0	+0.3		+0.3
Lady Chiefs Pre 0 SSA Chelsea 00G 1	-0.3		-0.3		-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
GSA 00 Red vs NASA G18 Premier					+0.4*+0.0-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the UFA 00 Black finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Promoted		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Relegated		Count

47	9	-	0	-	0	86.5	%	86.5	%	87	13	0											No		3,258
44	8	-	1	-	0	60.3		60.3		60	35	5	0										No		7,719
42	8	-	0	-	1	43.3		43.3		43	45	11	1										No		19,949
41	7	-	2	-	0	29.1		29.1		29	48	20	2	0									No		11,538
39	7	-	1	-	1	12.6		12.6		13	41	36	10	1	0								No		60,604
38	6	-	3	-	0	7.3		7.3		7	34	41	16	2	0								No		10,466
37	7	-	0	-	2	3.9		3.9		4	26	43	23	4	0	0							No		79,423
36	6	-	2	-	1	1.2		1.2		1	14	39	35	10	1	0							No		80,452
35	5	-	4	-	0	0.5		0.5		1	9	34	39	16	2	0							No		5,788
34	6	-	1	-	2	0.1		0.1		0	3	19	40	29	8	1	0						No		213,397
33	5	-	3	-	1	0.0		0.0		0	1	10	33	38	16	2	0						No		61,878
32	6	-	0	-	3	0.0		0.0		0	0	5	23	40	25	6	1	0	0				No		187,195
	4	-	5	-	0	No		No			1	7	29	40	19	4	0						No		2,143
31	5	-	2	-	2	No		No			0	1	11	33	37	16	2	0	0				No		243,827
30	4	-	4	-	1	No		No			0	0	5	25	40	24	5	0	0				No		29,474
29	5	-	1	-	3	No		No				0	1	11	31	36	17	3	0	0			No		425,770
	3	-	6	-	0	No		No				0	3	21	33	30	11	2					No		556
28	4	-	3	-	2	No		No				0	0	4	19	38	29	9	1	0			No		154,827
27	5	-	0	-	4	No		No					0	1	10	30	37	19	4	0	0		0.0	%	280,027
	3	-	5	-	1	No		No						2	13	34	35	14	2	0			No		9,004
26	4	-	2	-	3	No		No					0	0	3	17	36	31	11	2	0	0	0.1		405,095	*
25	3	-	4	-	2	No		No						0	1	9	28	37	20	4	0		0.3		58,617
24	4	-	1	-	4	No		No						0	0	3	15	34	33	13	2	0	1.9		531,244
	2	-	6	-	1	No		No							0	5	23	36	27	7	1		0.6		1,685
23	3	-	3	-	3	No		No							0	1	7	25	38	24	5	0	5.7		205,671	*
22	4	-	0	-	5	No		No							0	0	3	15	36	33	12	1	12.6		279,900
	2	-	5	-	2	No		No								0	4	19	38	30	8	1	9.1		13,595
21	3	-	2	-	4	No		No							0	0	1	7	27	40	22	3	25.3		406,557
	1	-	7	-	1	No		No									1	12	29	35	21	3	23.9		180
20	2	-	4	-	3	No		No								0	0	3	18	40	31	7	38.4		58,762	*
19	3	-	1	-	5	No		No								0	0	1	10	34	41	14	55.4		425,738
	1	-	6	-	2	No		No									0	2	15	37	36	11	46.9		1,725
18	2	-	3	-	4	No		No									0	0	4	24	47	25	71.3		154,003	*
17	3	-	0	-	6	No		No									0	0	2	17	47	34	80.8		186,598
	1	-	5	-	3	No		No										0	2	19	47	32	78.5		8,836
16	2	-	2	-	5	No		No										0	1	10	43	47	89.3		243,918	*
15	1	-	4	-	4	No		No											0	5	37	58	94.5		29,210
14	2	-	1	-	6	No		No											0	3	29	68	97.1		212,844
	0	-	6	-	3	No		No												5	27	68	95.1		616
13	1	-	3	-	5	No		No											0	1	20	79	99.0		61,443
12	2	-	0	-	7	No		No											0	1	16	83	99.5		79,962
	0	-	5	-	4	No		No												1	16	83	99.5		2,273
11	1	-	2	-	6	No		No											0	0	10	89	99.8		81,134
10	0	-	4	-	5	No		No												0	6	94	99.9		5,954
9	1	-	1	-	7	No		No												0	4	96	100.0		61,071
8	0	-	3	-	6	No		No													2	98	Yes		10,425
7	1	-	0	-	8	No		No													2	98	Yes		20,043
6	0	-	2	-	7	No		No													1	99	Yes		11,685
4	0	-	1	-	8	No		No													0	100	Yes		7,693
2	0	-	0	-	9	No		No														100	Yes		3,372

Total:						0.6	%	0.6	%	1	2	3	4	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	27.2	%	5,457,144

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship