NASA G18 Premier Title Chances Fall2014 50/50

Plays SSA Chelsea 00G 1:00 PM, title odds down 1 to 3.7%

5 points 1-0-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/6	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
NASA G18 Premier 2 Augusta Arsenal 1	+4.4		+4.4		-7.2		+1.1
Augusta Arsenal 0 UFA 00 Red 2	-0.5		-0.5		-0.3
Lady Chiefs Pre 0 SSA Chelsea 00G 1	-0.4		-0.4		-0.2
AFC Lightning 0 0 Lady Chiefs Pre 0	+0.3		+0.3		-0.1
UFA 00 Gold 0 Concorde Fire C 3	-0.1		-0.1
Roswell Santos 0 TopHat-18 Navy 1	-0.1		-0.1
UFA 00 Red 2 ATHENS UNITED - 0	-0.1		-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
GSA 00 Red vs NASA G18 Premier	-2.2-0.9+2.5		-2.2-0.9+2.5		+6.0*-0.1-6.0		-1.1-0.2+1.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NASA G18 Premier finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Promoted		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Relegated		Count

55	10	-	0	-	0	99.6	%	99.6	%	100	0												No		2,028
52	9	-	1	-	0	96.8		96.8		97	3												No		3,521
50	9	-	0	-	1	92.2		92.2		92	8	0											No		9,310
49	8	-	2	-	0	88.7		88.7		89	11	0											No		6,143
47	8	-	1	-	1	78.9		78.9		79	20	1	0										No		31,829
46	7	-	3	-	0	69.6		69.6		70	28	2	0										No		6,118
45	8	-	0	-	2	61.1		61.1		61	35	4	0										No		41,955
44	7	-	2	-	1	51.8		51.8		52	41	7	0	0									No		48,627
43	6	-	4	-	0	43.4		43.4		43	46	10	1	0									No		4,077
42	7	-	1	-	2	34.6		34.6		35	48	16	1	0									No		128,160
41	6	-	3	-	1	22.9		22.9		23	49	25	3	0									No		43,354
40	7	-	0	-	3	15.1		15.1		15	45	33	7	0	0								No		113,783	*
39	6	-	2	-	2	9.4		9.4		9	38	39	12	1	0								No		170,668
38	5	-	4	-	1	5.0		5.0		5	31	44	18	2	0								No		24,715
37	6	-	1	-	3	2.7		2.7		3	21	43	27	6	0	0							No		298,966	*
36	5	-	3	-	2	0.8		0.8		1	11	37	37	12	1	0	0						No		128,991
35	6	-	0	-	4	0.2		0.2		0	5	27	42	22	4	0	0						No		195,921
	4	-	5	-	1	0.4		0.4		0	8	32	42	16	2	0	0						No		9,395
34	5	-	2	-	3	0.1		0.1		0	2	17	39	32	9	1	0						No		340,436	*
33	4	-	4	-	2	0.0		0.0		0	1	9	34	38	16	2	0						No		61,836
32	5	-	1	-	4	0.0		0.0		0	0	4	21	40	28	8	1	0					No		450,586	*
31	4	-	3	-	3	No		No			0	1	10	32	38	17	3	0	0				No		215,441	*
30	5	-	0	-	5	No		No				0	3	19	38	29	9	1	0	0			No		234,321
	3	-	5	-	2	No		No				0	5	26	40	23	5	0	0				No		18,992
29	4	-	2	-	4	No		No			0	0	1	9	29	37	19	4	0	0			No		427,247	*
28	3	-	4	-	3	No		No				0	0	4	19	37	29	9	1	0			No		82,803
27	4	-	1	-	5	No		No					0	1	8	28	37	21	5	0	0		0.0	%	447,904
	2	-	6	-	2	No		No					0	2	13	34	35	14	2	0			No		3,516
26	3	-	3	-	4	No		No					0	0	3	15	34	33	13	2	0	0	0.1		215,991	*
25	4	-	0	-	6	No		No						0	1	6	25	38	24	6	0	0	0.5		194,404
	2	-	5	-	3	No		No						0	1	9	29	37	20	4	0	0	0.3		18,773
24	3	-	2	-	5	No		No						0	0	2	13	33	34	15	3	0	2.6		340,811	*
23	2	-	4	-	4	No		No							0	1	6	24	38	25	6	0	6.3		61,810	*
22	3	-	1	-	6	No		No							0	0	2	14	35	35	13	1	14.6		300,681	*
21	2	-	3	-	5	No		No								0	1	6	24	40	25	5	29.5		129,885	*
20	3	-	0	-	7	No		No								0	0	2	15	39	35	9	43.3		111,919
	1	-	5	-	4	No		No									0	3	17	39	33	7	40.5		9,260
19	2	-	2	-	6	No		No									0	1	8	31	43	17	60.4		170,144	*
18	1	-	4	-	5	No		No									0	0	3	23	47	27	73.9		24,553
17	2	-	1	-	7	No		No										0	2	16	46	37	82.9		128,789	*
16	1	-	3	-	6	No		No										0	0	8	40	52	92.0		43,393
15	2	-	0	-	8	No		No										0	0	5	35	60	95.2		44,053	*
14	1	-	2	-	7	No		No											0	2	26	72	97.8		48,542
13	0	-	4	-	6	No		No												1	18	82	99.3		4,131
12	1	-	1	-	8	No		No											0	0	14	85	99.6		32,293
11	0	-	3	-	7	No		No												0	8	91	99.8		6,240
10	1	-	0	-	9	No		No												0	6	94	100.0		9,304
9	0	-	2	-	8	No		No													4	96	Yes		6,000
7	0	-	1	-	9	No		No													2	98	Yes		3,594
5	0	-	0	-	10	No		No													0	100	Yes		1,931

Total:						3.7	%	3.7	%	4	6	9	10	10	10	9	9	8	8	7	6	4	10.4	%	5,457,144

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship