Lady Chiefs Premier 00 Title Chances Fall2014 50/50

Did not play, title odds down 0.2 to 0.6%

2 points 0-1-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/6	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Lady Chiefs Pre 0 SSA Chelsea 00G 1	-3.6		-3.6		+7.3		-1.1
AFC Lightning 0 0 Lady Chiefs Pre 0	-1.3		-1.3		+0.2		-0.2
Augusta Arsenal 0 UFA 00 Red 2	-0.3		-0.3		-0.4
UFA 00 Black 1 AFC Lightning 0 2	-0.1		-0.1
NASA G18 Premier 2 Augusta Arsenal 1	-0.1		-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
GSA 00 Red vs NASA G18 Premier					+0.3*+0.0-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lady Chiefs Pre finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Promoted		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Relegated		Count

47	9	-	0	-	0	89.7	%	89.7	%	90	10	0											No		3,250
44	8	-	1	-	0	62.5		62.5		62	33	4	0										No		7,541
42	8	-	0	-	1	44.9		44.9		45	45	10	1										No		19,960
41	7	-	2	-	0	29.8		29.8		30	49	19	2	0									No		11,576
39	7	-	1	-	1	13.0		13.0		13	42	35	9	1	0								No		60,921
38	6	-	3	-	0	7.4		7.4		7	34	41	16	2	0								No		10,193
37	7	-	0	-	2	4.1		4.1		4	26	43	23	4	0	0							No		80,007
36	6	-	2	-	1	1.2		1.2		1	14	38	35	11	1	0							No		81,102
35	5	-	4	-	0	0.4		0.4		0	9	33	40	16	2	0							No		5,829
34	6	-	1	-	2	0.1		0.1		0	3	19	39	30	8	1	0	0					No		213,142
33	5	-	3	-	1	0.0		0.0		0	1	9	33	39	16	2	0	0					No		62,250
32	6	-	0	-	3	0.0		0.0		0	0	4	23	40	26	6	1	0					No		186,729
	4	-	5	-	0	No		No			0	7	30	40	20	4	0						No		2,209
31	5	-	2	-	2	No		No			0	1	10	32	37	16	3	0	0				No		243,119
30	4	-	4	-	1	No		No				0	5	24	39	25	6	0	0				No		29,167
29	5	-	1	-	3	No		No				0	1	10	31	36	17	3	0	0			No		425,796
	3	-	6	-	0	No		No				0	3	17	35	30	13	1	0				No		592
28	4	-	3	-	2	No		No				0	0	4	19	37	29	9	1	0			No		154,646
27	5	-	0	-	4	No		No					0	1	10	30	37	19	4	0	0		0.0	%	279,750
	3	-	5	-	1	No		No					0	2	13	35	34	13	2	0			No		9,016
26	4	-	2	-	3	No		No					0	0	3	17	36	31	11	1	0	0	0.1		405,662	*
25	3	-	4	-	2	No		No						0	1	9	29	38	19	4	0		0.2		58,719
24	4	-	1	-	4	No		No						0	0	3	16	35	32	12	2	0	1.8		533,466
	2	-	6	-	1	No		No							0	6	21	37	28	7	0		0.4		1,716
23	3	-	3	-	3	No		No							0	1	7	25	38	23	5	0	5.5		204,871	*
22	4	-	0	-	5	No		No							0	0	3	16	36	33	11	1	12.6		279,910
	2	-	5	-	2	No		No								0	4	20	38	29	8	1	9.0		13,459
21	3	-	2	-	4	No		No								0	1	8	27	39	21	3	24.8		404,888
	1	-	7	-	1	No		No								1	2	11	35	30	20	2	21.9		183
20	2	-	4	-	3	No		No								0	0	3	19	40	31	7	37.8		58,672
19	3	-	1	-	5	No		No								0	0	1	10	33	41	15	55.6		425,990
	1	-	6	-	2	No		No									0	1	13	36	38	12	49.9		1,628
18	2	-	3	-	4	No		No									0	0	4	24	46	25	71.2		154,124	*
17	3	-	0	-	6	No		No										0	2	16	46	35	81.7		186,079
	1	-	5	-	3	No		No										0	3	18	46	33	79.1		8,912
16	2	-	2	-	5	No		No									0	0	1	10	41	48	89.6		244,113	*
15	1	-	4	-	4	No		No										0	0	5	35	60	94.7		29,452
14	2	-	1	-	6	No		No											0	2	27	70	97.5		213,639
	0	-	6	-	3	No		No											0	4	28	68	96.0		572
13	1	-	3	-	5	No		No											0	1	19	80	99.1		61,848
12	2	-	0	-	7	No		No											0	0	14	86	99.6		79,857
	0	-	5	-	4	No		No												0	15	85	99.5		2,217
11	1	-	2	-	6	No		No											0	0	8	91	99.9		81,200
10	0	-	4	-	5	No		No												0	5	95	99.9		6,015
9	1	-	1	-	7	No		No												0	3	97	100.0		60,651
8	0	-	3	-	6	No		No													1	99	Yes		10,172
7	1	-	0	-	8	No		No													1	99	Yes		19,978
6	0	-	2	-	7	No		No													0	100	Yes		11,433
4	0	-	1	-	8	No		No													0	100	Yes		7,639
2	0	-	0	-	9	No		No														100	Yes		3,284

Total:						0.6	%	0.6	%	1	2	3	4	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	27.2	%	5,457,144

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship