Alligators W/Talons Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50

Lost to Kyle 30-71, playoff odds up 1.9 to 96.9%

14 points 7-3-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kyle 71 Yarroch 30	-5.0		-1.3
Jake 69 Chris 67	+2.3		+0.0
Stephen 62 Veale 71	+0.9		+0.1
Babs 75 Josh 77	+0.6
Zach 35 Bill 55	-0.4
Darryl 43 Jason 44	+0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jason vs Yarroch	-3.1-3.2InIn		-0.4-0.4+0.4+0.4
Josh vs Chris	InIn-3.1-3.1
Jake vs Stephen	+1.6+1.7-1.6-1.6		+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
Babs vs Veale	-1.6-1.4+1.6+1.6		-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Zach vs Kyle			+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2

Chances based on how well the Yarroch finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

18	2	-	0	-	0	In		6	19			75								2,425,857
16	1	-	1	-	0	In		0	0	0	0	100								4,855,709
14	0	-	2	-	0	87.5	%					41	47	13						2,428,136

Total:						96.9	%	2	5	0	0	79	12	3						9,709,702

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 11/21	100.0*	Lottery seed
Kyle 71 Yarroch 30	+1.3
Stephen 62 Veale 71	-0.1
Jake 69 Chris 67	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/28	100.0*	Lottery seed
Jason vs Yarroch	+0.4+0.4-0.4-0.4
Zach vs Kyle	-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2
Jake vs Stephen	-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Babs vs Veale	+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

18	2	-	0	-	0	6	19			75
16	1	-	1	-	0	0	0	0	0	100
14	0	-	2	-	0					41	47	13

Total:						2	5	0	0	79	12	3