BOONDOCKERS Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Lost to Jason 43-44, playoff odds down 22.4 to 15.6%

8 points 4-7-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Darryl 43 Jason 44	-13.5		-0.8
Zach 35 Bill 55	-4.9		-0.2
Jake 69 Chris 67			-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Darryl vs Bill	+29.0+29.1OutOut		+1.8+1.8-1.0-1.0
Babs vs Veale			+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2
Jason vs Yarroch			-0.2-0.2+0.0+0.0
Jake vs Stephen			-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0

Chances based on how well the Darryl finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

12	2	-	0	-	0	57.7	%				58			5	20	17				2,870,815
10	1	-	1	-	0	Out										89	11	0		6,172,818
8	0	-	2	-	0	Out										33	50	17		1,570,091

Total:						15.6	%				16			1	6	61	14	3		10,613,724

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 11/21	100.0*	Lottery seed
Darryl 43 Jason 44	+0.8
Zach 35 Bill 55	+0.2
Jake 69 Chris 67	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/28	100.0*	Lottery seed
Darryl vs Bill	-1.8-1.8+1.0+1.0
Babs vs Veale	-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2
Jason vs Yarroch	+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0
Jake vs Stephen	+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

12	2	-	0	-	0				58			5	20	17
10	1	-	1	-	0									89	11	0
8	0	-	2	-	0									33	50	17

Total:									16			1	6	61	14	3