Kibbles and Vicks Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50

Lost to Jake 67-69, playoff odds down 7.6 to 3.9%

10 points 5-6-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jake 69 Chris 67	-9.0		-0.5
Kyle 71 Yarroch 30	+3.9
Babs 75 Josh 77	-1.6		-0.1
Stephen 62 Veale 71	+0.2
Zach 35 Bill 55	+0.1
Darryl 43 Jason 44	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jason vs Yarroch	+3.9+4.0OutOut
Josh vs Chris	OutOut+3.9+3.9		-0.5-0.5+0.5+0.5
Babs vs Veale	+1.6+1.5-1.6-1.6		+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
Jake vs Stephen	-0.8-0.9+0.8+0.8		-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2
Darryl vs Bill			-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1

Chances based on how well the Chris finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

14	2	-	0	-	0	15.7	%					0	16	75	9					2,426,837
12	1	-	1	-	0	Out								75	25					4,852,052
10	0	-	2	-	0	Out								7	30	40	20	3		2,430,813

Total:						3.9	%					0	4	58	22	10	5	1		9,709,702

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 11/21	100.0*	Lottery seed
Jake 69 Chris 67	+0.5
Babs 75 Josh 77	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/28	100.0*	Lottery seed
Josh vs Chris	+0.5+0.5-0.5-0.5
Jake vs Stephen	+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2
Babs vs Veale	-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Darryl vs Bill	+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

14	2	-	0	-	0					0	16	75	9
12	1	-	1	-	0							75	25
10	0	-	2	-	0							7	30	40	20	3

Total:										0	4	58	22	10	5	1