Bab's Boys Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Lost to Josh 75-77, playoff odds up 0.6 to 99.9996%

14 points 7-4-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Babs 75 Josh 77	-0.6		-0.8
Jake 69 Chris 67	+0.6
Stephen 62 Veale 71			+0.7

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Josh vs Chris	In*In-0.0-0.0		-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1
Babs vs Veale	InIn-0.0-0.0		+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.8
Jason vs Yarroch	-0.0-0.0InIn		+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0
Jake vs Stephen			+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Babs finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

18	2	-	0	-	0	In		0	8	92										4,143,275
16	1	-	1	-	0	In			0	8	0	9	84							5,303,625
14	0	-	2	-	0	100.0	%					2	98	0						1,166,824

Total:						100.0	%	0	3	40	0	4	53	0						10,613,724

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 11/21	100.0*	Lottery seed
Babs 75 Josh 77	+0.8
Stephen 62 Veale 71	-0.7

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/28	100.0*	Lottery seed
Babs vs Veale	-0.2-0.2+0.8+0.8
Jake vs Stephen	-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1
Jason vs Yarroch	-0.2-0.2+0.0+0.0
Josh vs Chris	+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

18	2	-	0	-	0	0	8	92
16	1	-	1	-	0		0	8	0	9	84
14	0	-	2	-	0					2	98	0

Total:						0	3	40	0	4	53	0