"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Trim Yer Bush Playoff Chances 2014-2015
Lost to Bill 47-64, playoff odds down 27.4 to 40.5%
6 points 3-3-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kyle 47 Bill 64 | -11.7 | -0.6 | ||
| Babs 80 Kyle 53 | -8.8 | -0.8 | ||
| Chris 52 Fitz 68 | -2.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Jake 89 Brandon 69 | -1.1 | -0.0 | ||
| Babs 91 Josh 71 | +1.0 | |||
| Jake 82 Zach 78 | -0.7 | -0.0 | ||
| Josh 50 Bill 56 | +0.7 | |||
| Jason 68 Brandon 61 | -0.3 | -0.2 | ||
| Daryll 38 Chris 58 | +0.3 | |||
| Yarroch 71 Daryll 46 | -0.2 | |||
| Zach 65 Jason 66 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Fitz 48 Yarroch 99 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kyle vs Zach | +4.3-9.6-19.2 | +0.2-0.4-0.9 | ||
| Yarroch vs Bill | -4.1*-0.0+2.6 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Fitz vs Josh | -2.1*-0.1+3.3 | |||
| Babs vs Jake | +1.4-1.0-1.4 | |||
| Jason vs Daryll | +0.3-0.5-1.0 | |||
| Chris vs Brandon | -0.1*-0.1+0.5 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Kyle finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 20 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 56 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 115,655 | |||||||||
| 19 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 19 | 33 | 11 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 26,962 | |||||||||
| 18 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 6 | 21 | 16 | 2 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 1,002,770 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 5 | 20 | 16 | 2 | 56 | 2 | 2,718 | ||||||||||
| 17 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.9 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 65 | 12 | 0 | 201,826 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 5 | 20 | 4 | 63 | 7 | 157 | |||||||||||
| 16 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 97.3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 3,621,220 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 97.8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 16,482 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 33 | 33 | 33 | 3 | |||||||||||||
| 15 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 85.9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 53 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 579,417 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 84.0 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 49 | 16 | 0 | 718 | ||||||||||
| 14 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 60.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6,671,319 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 61.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 49 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 36,734 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 47.1 | 18 | 29 | 35 | 18 | 17 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 25.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 49 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 814,140 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 26.2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 49 | 24 | 1 | 1,113 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 43 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 6,715,492 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 36,357 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | 54 | 23 | 23 | 13 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 49 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 584,877 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 1.0 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 713 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 46 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 3,664,163 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 48 | 21 | 1 | 16,496 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 40 | 60 | 5 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 201,469 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 1 | 6 | 40 | 49 | 4 | 145 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 19 | 58 | 21 | 0 | 984,937 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 2 | 18 | 60 | 20 | 0 | 2,673 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 4 | 55 | 39 | 2 | 25,394 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 26 | 59 | 15 | 102,495 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 40.5 | % | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25,426,480 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:51 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
