Ditka's Mustache Playoff Chances 2014-2015
Beat Chris 68-52, playoff odds up 22.7 to 49%
6 points 3-3-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Chris 52 Fitz 68 | +17.4 | +1.1 | ||
| Fitz 48 Yarroch 99 | -13.8 | -1.0 | ||
| Babs 80 Kyle 53 | -4.9 | -0.3 | ||
| Babs 91 Josh 71 | -2.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Kyle 47 Bill 64 | +1.1 | |||
| Jason 68 Brandon 61 | +0.7 | +0.0 | ||
| Josh 50 Bill 56 | +0.7 | |||
| Jake 89 Brandon 69 | -0.7 | |||
| Jake 82 Zach 78 | -0.6 | |||
| Yarroch 71 Daryll 46 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| Daryll 38 Chris 58 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||
| Zach 65 Jason 66 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Fitz vs Josh | +11.3+1.0-17.5 | +0.5+0.0-0.9 | ||
| Yarroch vs Bill | -4.0+0.9+2.5 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Kyle vs Zach | -1.2+3.4+5.2 | -0.0+0.1+0.2 | ||
| Jason vs Daryll | +0.2*-0.0-0.9 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Babs vs Jake | +0.5*-0.2-0.5 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Chris vs Brandon | -0.1*+0.1+0.4 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Fitz finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 20 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 25 | 52 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 306,711 | |||||||||
| 19 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 9 | 45 | 37 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 61,853 | |||||||||
| 18 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 2 | 20 | 41 | 12 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 1,966,153 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 2 | 21 | 46 | 11 | 19 | 2 | 5,394 | ||||||||||
| 17 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.9 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 338,415 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 5 | 37 | 16 | 32 | 10 | 241 | |||||||||||
| 16 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 95.1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 28 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5,204,056 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 95.7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 24,018 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 36 | 45 | 18 | 11 | |||||||||||||
| 15 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 87.7 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 42 | 12 | 0 | 722,651 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 88.5 | 3 | 20 | 21 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 907 | ||||||||||
| 14 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 50.3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 7,142,812 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 52.2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 39,252 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 36.4 | 18 | 18 | 55 | 9 | 11 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 29.6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 49 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 766,250 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 28.7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 50 | 20 | 1 | 1,080 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 5.9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 45 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 5,442,262 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 5.6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 46 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 30,195 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 10.0 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 10 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 423,128 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 503 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 45 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 2,282,192 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 48 | 29 | 2 | 10,745 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 20 | 60 | 20 | 5 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 114,038 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 1 | 4 | 31 | 53 | 11 | 98 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 50 | 40 | 1 | 485,613 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 9 | 54 | 35 | 1 | 1,449 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 36 | 58 | 4 | 11,760 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 6 | 67 | 27 | 44,667 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 49.0 | % | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25,426,480 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:51 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
