Newton's Third Law Playoff Chances 2014-2015
Lost to Fitz 52-68, playoff odds down 1.6 to 98.2%
10 points 5-1-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Daryll 38 Chris 58 | +0.7 | +0.2 | ||
| Chris 52 Fitz 68 | -0.5 | -0.4 | ||
| Josh 50 Bill 56 | +0.1 | |||
| Jake 82 Zach 78 | -0.1 | -0.0 | ||
| Jason 68 Brandon 61 | -0.0 | |||
| Jake 89 Brandon 69 | -0.0 | |||
| Zach 65 Jason 66 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Chris vs Brandon | +0.6-0.3-3.9 | +0.1-0.2-0.9 | ||
| Yarroch vs Bill | -0.4+0.1+0.2 | +0.1+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Kyle vs Zach | -0.1+0.3+0.4 | |||
| Fitz vs Josh | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | |||
| Babs vs Jake | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| Jason vs Daryll | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Chris finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 24 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 1,542,494 | ||||||||||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 99 | 1 | 243,838 | |||||||||||||
| 22 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 85 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 5,296,534 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 90 | 10 | 16,571 | ||||||||||||||
| 21 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 71 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 710,115 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 72 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 602 | ||||||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 38 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 7,454,059 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 42 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 39,651 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 60 | 40 | 15 | ||||||||||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 18 | 51 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 819,542 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 19 | 52 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 1,164 | |||||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 4 | 27 | 35 | 9 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 5,556,385 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 4 | 29 | 36 | 8 | 22 | 0 | 35,974 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | 8 | 15 | 31 | 15 | 31 | 13 | |||||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 0 | 10 | 35 | 17 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 483,973 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.9 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 20 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 774 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 97.0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 23 | 35 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2,370,728 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 98.1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 24 | 37 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 15,671 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | 17 | 75 | 8 | 12 | |||||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 90.0 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 28 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 151,399 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 86.9 | 6 | 24 | 27 | 30 | 12 | 1 | 252 | ||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 53.7 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 575,028 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 57.1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3,231 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 26.4 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 43 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 24,199 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 13.8 | 3 | 10 | 45 | 31 | 10 | 29 | |||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 5.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 47 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 73,496 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 6.1 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 46 | 22 | 3 | 245 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 1,517 | ||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 8 | 36 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 8,967 | |||||||||
| Total: | 98.2 | % | 39 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25,426,480 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:51 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
