Ed Hochuli Gun Show Playoff Chances 2014-2015
Lost to Jake 69-89, playoff odds down 3.5 to 0.5%
2 points 1-5-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jason 68 Brandon 61 | -3.7 | -0.4 | ||
| Jake 89 Brandon 69 | -2.0 | -0.3 | ||
| Fitz 48 Yarroch 99 | +1.8 | |||
| Babs 80 Kyle 53 | -1.6 | -0.1 | ||
| Chris 52 Fitz 68 | -0.8 | -0.1 | ||
| Babs 91 Josh 71 | -0.6 | +0.0 | ||
| Josh 50 Bill 56 | +0.3 | |||
| Jake 82 Zach 78 | -0.3 | |||
| Kyle 47 Bill 64 | +0.2 | |||
| Daryll 38 Chris 58 | +0.1 | +0.0 | ||
| Yarroch 71 Daryll 46 | -0.1 | |||
| Zach 65 Jason 66 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Chris vs Brandon | -0.3*-0.0+1.7 | -0.1+0.2+0.6 | ||
| Kyle vs Zach | -0.0*+0.0+0.2 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Fitz vs Josh | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Yarroch vs Bill | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||
| Babs vs Jake | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |||
| Jason vs Daryll | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Brandon finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 16 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.6 | % | 0 | 12 | 46 | 15 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 8,731 | |||||||
| 15 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 90.1 | 0 | 14 | 27 | 17 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 1,415 | ||||||||
| 14 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 70.3 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 35 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 71,540 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 65.6 | 5 | 16 | 8 | 37 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 250 | |||||||||
| 13 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 25.8 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 43 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 24,065 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 38.9 | 6 | 33 | 39 | 17 | 6 | 18 | |||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 11.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 39 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 585,584 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 9.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 41 | 17 | 1 | 3,292 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | Out | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 158,412 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 1.3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 229 | |||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 48 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 2,490,550 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 50 | 26 | 4 | 16,550 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | 8 | 25 | 50 | 8 | 8 | 12 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 49 | 17 | 0 | 509,672 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | 2 | 27 | 54 | 17 | 804 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 48 | 35 | 0 | 5,882,519 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 14 | 48 | 37 | 0 | 37,386 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | 14 | 52 | 33 | 21 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 30 | 66 | 2 | 850,168 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | 3 | 30 | 65 | 3 | 1,172 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 16 | 76 | 7 | 7,652,389 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 13 | 79 | 8 | 39,230 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 93 | 7 | 15 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 80 | 18 | 688,451 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 3 | 75 | 23 | 557 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 62 | 38 | 4,980,184 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 58 | 42 | 14,718 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 35 | 65 | 203,791 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 11 | 89 | 1,204,752 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.5 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 15 | 25,426,480 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:51 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
