chuk Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Beat AP 157.8-153.9, playoff odds up 6.7 to 31.9%
1453.5999999999997 points 4-6-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Odds of taking last/being the horse's ass (and "winning" Horse's Ass Trophy) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| AP 153.9 chuk 157.8 | +14.3 | -8.6 | +0.7 | |||
| CALK 146.3 SWAY 128.1 | -2.5 | -4.1 | -0.0 | |||
| OC 150 KONZ 179.7 | -0.5 | |||||
| POPP 135.6 FAT 135.5 | -0.2 | -1.6 | +0.0 | |||
| NANA 169.4 AR 171.9 | *+0.1 | -1.0 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 11/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Odds of taking last/being the horse's ass (and "winning" Horse's Ass Trophy) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| chuk vs OC | +17.2-15.7-16.7 | -3.7+2.2+3.7 | +0.7-0.5-0.6 | |||
| FAT vs CALK | +5.1+6.5-5.3 | +0.8-0.4-0.8 | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | |||
| SWAY vs POPP | +2.7+2.4-2.8 | +2.5-2.3-2.4 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| AR vs KONZ | -1.8+1.3+1.8 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| AP vs NANA | -0.1+2.6*+0.0 | -0.3-0.2+0.3 | +0.1+0.2-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the chuk finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Odds of winning championship (and Brett Goode Championship) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Odds of taking last/being the horse's ass (and "winning" Horse's Ass Trophy) | Count | |||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0.9 | % | No | 1 | 28 | 51 | 19 | 1 | 0.7 | % | 7,811,742 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 53.8 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 3 | No | 7,801,905 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 97.3 | No | 0 | 8 | 30 | 40 | 19 | 3 | No | 2,608,549 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 61 | 31 | 30.6 | 2,605,575 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2.7 | No | 3 | 47 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 0.1 | 507,471 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 63.2 | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 49 | 37 | No | 253,875 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | No | 2 | 22 | 57 | 19 | 19.3 | 252,994 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 5.7 | No | 6 | 68 | 24 | 3 | No | 8,346 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | No | 7 | 36 | 46 | 11 | 11.3 | 8,190 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 3 | Out | No | 18 | 47 | 33 | 1 | 1.1 | 93 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 31.9 | % | No | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 4.1 | % | 21,858,740 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:53 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
