"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Houston Roughnecks Playoff Chances 2020 50/50
Beat Seattle 32-23, playoff odds up 5.3 to 99%
5-0-0 1.000
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Houston 32 Seattle 23 | +5.5 | +0.2 | ||
| Dallas 12 New York 30 | +1.2 | +0.1 | ||
| LA 41 Tampa Bay 34 | -0.2 | |||
| DC 15 St Louis 6 | -0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 3/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New York vs Houston | -1.0+0.7+1.0 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| DC vs Dallas | +0.5*-0.0-0.5 | |||
| Tampa Bay vs St Louis | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Seattle vs LA | +0.1*+0.4-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 7.5 | -10 | In | 100 | 4,821,555 | * | |||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 96 | 4 | 3,006,988 | |||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 5 | |||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 92 | 8 | 4,939 | ||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 99.2 | % | 67 | 32 | 1 | 1,499,459 | |||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 25 | 75 | 4 | ||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 96.2 | 47 | 49 | 4 | 1,194 | |||
| 5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 71.8 | 13 | 59 | 27 | 1 | 303,792 | |||
| Total: | 99.0 | % | 91 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 9,637,936 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:34 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
