"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
DC Defenders Playoff Chances 2020
Beat St Louis 15-6, playoff odds up 12 to 57.2%
3-2-0 .600
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DC 15 St Louis 6 | +17.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Dallas 12 New York 30 | -6.7 | -0.1 | ||
| LA 41 Tampa Bay 34 | +1.8 | +0.1 | ||
| Houston 32 Seattle 23 | -0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 3/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DC vs Dallas | +9.8-9.7-14.2 | +0.2-0.1-0.3 | ||
| New York vs Houston | -9.4-7.8+5.3 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | ||
| Seattle vs LA | +0.6*+0.7-0.4 | |||
| Tampa Bay vs St Louis | +0.3*-1.1-0.2 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the DC finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 7.5 | -8 | In | 100 | 372,454 | * | |||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 94 | 6 | 2,870,884 | |||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||
| 6 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.3 | % | 66 | 33 | 1 | 11,193 | ||
| 6 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 97.6 | 46 | 52 | 2 | 8,374,737 | ||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 55 | 45 | 11 | ||||||
| 5 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 75.6 | 12 | 63 | 24 | 0 | 23,094 | ||
| 5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 53.2 | 3 | 50 | 45 | 2 | 11,071,378 | |||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 52.9 | 53 | 47 | 17 | ||||||
| 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 18.0 | 0 | 18 | 73 | 9 | 19,236 | ||
| 4 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 4.3 | 4 | 58 | 37 | 6,626,983 | ||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 67 | 33 | 9 | ||||||
| 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 42 | 58 | 5,575 | |||
| 3 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 9 | 91 | 1,467,835 | |||||
| Total: | 57.2 | % | 24 | 33 | 30 | 13 | 30,843,408 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:34 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
