DC Defenders Playoff Chances 2020 50/50
Lost to Tampa Bay 0-25, playoff odds down 17.8 to 53.4%
2-2-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tampa Bay 25 DC 0 | -12.2 | -0.3 | ||
| New York 17 LA 14 | -3.0 | -0.1 | ||
| St Louis 23 Seattle 16 | -2.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Dallas 20 Houston 27 | +0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 3/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DC vs St Louis | +15.6*-1.4-15.6 | +0.4-0.0-0.4 | ||
| Dallas vs New York | +4.2-3.7-4.2 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
| LA vs Tampa Bay | +3.5+4.0-3.5 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| Houston vs Seattle | -0.1*+1.1+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the DC finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 7.5 | -8 | In | 100 | 154,220 | * | |||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 96 | 4 | 900,473 | |||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.6 | % | 77 | 23 | 0 | 3,639 | ||
| 6 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 97.6 | 55 | 42 | 2 | 2,253,417 | ||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 33 | 67 | 6 | ||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 81.3 | 20 | 62 | 18 | 0 | 7,079 | ||
| 5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 56.9 | 6 | 51 | 38 | 5 | 2,999,734 | |||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 71.4 | 71 | 14 | 14 | 7 | |||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 21.7 | 0 | 22 | 59 | 19 | 7,208 | ||
| 4 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 7.7 | 8 | 47 | 45 | 2,253,033 | ||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 50 | 50 | 10 | ||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1.2 | 1 | 28 | 71 | 3,709 | |||
| 3 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 12 | 88 | 901,045 | ||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 3 | |||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 4 | 96 | 709 | ||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 100 | 153,643 | ||||||
| Total: | 53.4 | % | 25 | 28 | 25 | 22 | 9,637,936 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:34 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
