How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
HVV 35.9 SUN 39.5 +2.3
+0.2
NOL 35.4 MOS 36.1 -1.1
COR 39.6 KRL 47.7 -0.6
PRO 40.5 QBC 42.9 +0.3
MAN 46.1 AMS 42.7 +0.2
ETO 43.9 NIA 48.8 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 1/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SUN vs ETO+1.2+0.9-1.0
+0.5-0.0-0.4
MOS vs COR-0.5+0.1+0.3
NOL vs MAN+0.1*-0.0-0.5
HVV vs PRO+0.3+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.0
KRL vs AMS-0.1+0.3+0.2
NIA vs QBC+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the SUN finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
265-0-0In00474841,010,456
254-0-1In002506114365,654
244-1-0In0010153365,401,049
3-0-2In0111543352,931
233-1-1In2137601,530,026
2-0-3In2140563,788
223-2-0In0020077110,958,043
2-1-2In00200771161,029
1-0-4In114841120
212-2-1In00708932,269,574
1-1-3In00808937,471
0-0-5In1003
202-3-0100.0%00208513010,524,585
1-2-2100.0002086120154,446
0-1-4In1909132
191-3-1100.000782201,414,389
0-2-399.900782203,453
181-4-097.70055432004,791,252
0-3-298.4584020047,217
170-4-191.03457910314,040
160-5-052.7943341210838,558
Total:98.7%00301706711100039,848,216
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 1/12100.0*Lottery seed
HVV 35.9 SUN 39.5 -0.2
ETO 43.9 NIA 48.8 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 1/19100.0*Lottery seed
SUN vs ETO-0.5+0.0+0.4
NIA vs QBC-0.0+0.0+0.1
HVV vs PRO-0.1-0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-T123456789101112
265-0-00047484
254-0-1002506114
244-1-0001015336
3-0-201115433
233-1-1213760
2-0-3214056
223-2-000200771
2-1-200200771
1-0-4114841
212-2-10070893
1-1-30080893
0-0-5100
202-3-0002085130
1-2-2002086120
0-1-41909
191-3-10078220
0-2-30078220
181-4-0005543200
0-3-25840200
170-4-13457910
160-5-0943341210
Total:003017067111000